Subscribe
Follow Us
Aaron Civale looks for his first win on the mound since April as his Tampa Bay Rays play host to the Chicago Cubs. It's time to continue our MLB odds series with a Cubs-Rays prediction and pick.
Cubs-Rays Projected Starters
Javier Assad vs. Aaron Civale
Javier Assad (4-2) with a 2.74 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP
Last Start: Last time out, Civale went 5.2 innings, giving up seven hits and two walks. He would give up five runs in the game, taking the loss to the Reds.
2024 Road Splits: Assad has made seven starts on the road this year. He is 2-2 with a 3.68 ERA. Opponents have also hit .232 against Assad on the road.
Aaron Civale (2-5) with a 5.51 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP.
Last Start: Last time out, Civale went five innings, giving up seven hits and a walk. He also gave up two home runs and four runs total. Civale would take the loss to the Orioles.
2024 Home Splits: Civale is 1-3 in seven starts at home. He has a 4.82 ERA and opponents are hitting .246 against him at home.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Cubs-Rays Odds
Chicago Cubs: -1.5 (+152)
Moneyline: -106
Tampa Bay Rays: +1.5 (-184)
Moneyline: -110
Over: 7.5 (-112)
Under: 7.5 (-108)
How to Watch Cubs vs. Rays
Time: 6:50 PM ET/ 3:50 PM PT
TV: MARQ/BSSUN
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Cubs Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Cubs are 16th in the majors in runs scored, while sitting 26th in batting average, 14th in on-base percentage, and 21st in slugging. Christopher Morel has led the way this year. He is hitting just .203 this season but has a .315 on-base percentage. Morel has 12 home runs and 39 RBIs while also scoring 31 times. This gives him the team lead in home runs, RBIS, and tied for the second most in runs scored. HE is tied with Ian Happ. Happ is hitting .222 on the year with a .329 on-base percentage. Happ has 14 doubles and six home runs, leading to 30 RBIs. He has also scored 31 times this year.
Ian Happ has been solid in the last week. He is hitting .227 in the last week, stealing three bases, scoring twice, and driving in six runs. Meanwhile, Christopher Moral has also been solid in the last week. He is hitting .273 this week with two home runs and four RBIs. He has also scored five times. Finally, Dansby Swanson has been hot in the last week. He is hitting .391 in the last week with a home run and four RBIs. He has three RBIS and three runs scored.
Current members of the Cubs have 25 career at-bats against Aaron Civale. They have hit just .160 against him, with just one RBI. The one RBI is from Mike Tachman, but Tauchman does not have a high. Nico Hoerner has the only extra-base hit against Civale, going one for four with a walk against Civale.
Why The Rays Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Rays are 26th in the majors in runs scored this year while sitting 20th in batting average, 21st in on-base percentage, and 28th in slugging. Isaac Paredes leads the way this year. He is hitting .288 on the year with a .371 on-base percentage. He leads the team with ten home runs and 37 RBIs while scoring 27 times. Yandy Diaz is also playing a great this year. He is hitting .254 with a .323 on-base percentage. He has four home runs and 29 RBIS while scoring 25 times. The Rays also get production from Jose Caballero. Caballero has hit .250 this year but has 22 stolen bases. He has driven in 18 runs and scored 28 times.
Brandon Lowe has been great in the last week. He is hitting .278 in the last week with a .381 on-base percentage. Further Low has a home run and seven RBIs while scoring four times. Issac Paredes has also been hot in the last week. He is hitting .250 with three runs and five RBIs. Randy Arozarena is also starting to hit better. He has just one RBI in the last week and three runs scored, but he is hitting .250 with a .500 on-base percentage in the last week.
Final Cubs-Rays Prediction & Pick
Offensive production is going to be the key in this one. Javier Assas has had some solid starts this year, and many of the Rays are struggling. As a team, they are hitting just .210 in the last six games. They also have combined for 66 hits plus walks, while striking out 61 times. Meanwhile, the Cubs are doing well. They also have the better pitcher going and should hit well against Aaron Civale. Take the Cubs on the road in this one.
Click here for more betting news and predictions
Final Cubs-Rays Prediction & Pick: Cubs ML (-106)
