Subscribe
Follow Us
Triston McKenzie leads the Clevland Guardians into this battle of Ohio as they face the Cincinnati Reds. It's time to continue our MLB odds series with a Guardians-Reds prediction and pick.
Guardians-Reds Projected Starters
Triston McKenzie vs. Brent Suter
Triston McKenzie (2-3) with a 4.16 ERA and 1.44 WHIP.
Last Start: Last time out, McKenzie went 5.1 innings, giving up five runs. He also gave up three home runs in the game, his third straight game giving up multiple home runs. Still, he did not factor into the decision as the Guardians would win 8-5
2024 Road Splits: On the road this year, McKenzie has pitched in four games, giving up 11 runs. That gives him a 4.50 ERA and an opponent batting average and .224. He is also 0-2 away from home.
Brent Suter (0-0) with a 3.85 ERA and 1.26 WHIP
Last Start: His last start saw Suter go .2 innings, giving up one hit and no runs against the Dodgers. Since then, he has made five relief appearances, giving up two runs in six innings of work.
2024 Home Splits: Suter has been much better at home than on the road. He has made 14 appearances and one start, having a 2.61 ERA and an opponent batting average of .237.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Guardians-Reds Odds
Cleveland Guardians: -1.5 (+126)
Moneyline: -124
Cincinnati Reds: +1.5 (-152)
Moneyline: +142
Over: 8 (-115)
Under: 8 (-105)
How to Watch Guardians vs. Reds
Time: 7:10 PM ET/ 4:10 PM PT
TV: BSGL/BSOH
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Guardians Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Guardians are sixth in runs scored, 16th in batting average, seventh in on-base percentage, and tenth in slugging. Jose Ramirez has led the way this year. He is hitting .275 on the year with a .336 on-base percentage. Ramirez has 14 doubles and 18 home runs this year, leading to 62 RBIs. He has also scored 50 times. Meanwhile, Josh Naylor is driving in plenty of runs. He is hitting .220 on the year with a .305 on-base percentage. He has 16 home runs with 47 RBIs and 35 runs scored. Rounding out the top bats on the year with Andres Giminez. He is hitting .263 this year with a .319 on-base percentage. Giminez has just four home runs but has 33 RBIS and 35 runs scored. He has also stolen nine bases this year as well.
Jose Ramirez has also been the best bat in the last week. He is hitting .316 in the last week with a .435 on-base percentage. He has two home runs and five RBIs while scoring six times. Also hitting well is Tyler Freeman. Freeman is hitting .267 this week with two home runs and five RBIs. He has scored three times. Rounding out the most productive bats in the last week is Josh Naylor. While he is hitting just .150 in the last week, he has a home run and five RBIs in the last week.
Why The Reds Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Reds are 12th in the majors in runs scored, while sitting 27th in batting average, 18th in on-base percentage, and 20th in slugging. Spencer Steer has been great this year. He is hitting .239 on the year with a .341 on-base percentage. Steer has seven home runs and 40 RBVIS. He has also stolen 11 bases and scored 31 times. Meanwhile, Elly De La Cruz has stolen 34 bases this year. He is hitting .235 this year with a .329 on-base percentage. De La Cruz also has 11 doubles and 11 home runs, good for 29 RBIS and 41 runs scored. Rounding out the best bats this year is Jonathan India. India is hitting .234 on the year with a .300 on-base percentage. He has four home runs leading 26 RBIS and 26 runs scored.
Jonathan India has also been on fire in the last week. He is hitting .364 over the last seven games with a home run and seven RBIs. TJ Friedl is also producing well. He hit .304 with a .429 on-base percentage in the last week. He also had two home runs and seven RBIs while scoring six times. Rounding out the top bats in the last week is Spencer Steer. He is hitting .276 in the last week with a home run and five RBIs. Steer has also scored four times in the last week.
Current members of the Reds have 27 career at-bats against Triston McKenzie. They have hit just .222 against him. Jeimer Candelario has just two hits in 13 at-bats with two walks. He has struck out five times, but his two hits are a double and a home run. Still, Jonathan India, Jake Fraley, and Tyler Stephenson are a combined one for seven against McKenzie.
Final Guardians-Reds Prediction & Pick
The Reds come into this game as winners of eight of their last ten, and a major part of that has been the offense. They have scored 64 runs in the last ten games, including scoring eight or more three times. With how they are hitting, combined with how Triston McKenzie has been on the road, the best play in this game is taking the Reds.
Click here for more betting news and predictions
Final Guardians-Reds Prediction & Pick: Reds ML +106)
