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George Kirby heads to the mound for the visiting Seattle Mariners as they face the Tampa Bay Rays. It's time to continue our MLB odds series with a Mariners-Rays prediction and pick.
Mariners-Rays Projected Starters
George Kirby vs. Ryan Pepiot
George Kirby (6-5) with a 3.47 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP
Last Start: Kirby went seven innings in high last start giving up five hits. He also gave up two solo home runs but took the no decision as the Mariner lost 3-2 to the Marlins in ten innings.
2024 Road Splits: Kirby has made nine starts on the road this year. He is 1-4 in those nine starts with a 4.41 ERA and a .256 opponent batting average.
Ryan Pepiot (4-4) with a 4.61 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP.
Last Start: Pepiot went just 3.1 innings last time out, giving up three hits, four walks, and two runs. He took the no-decision in a 10-3 win over the Pirates.
2024 Home Splits: Pepiot has made eight starts at home this year, going 1-3 with a 5.36 ERA. He also has a .219 opponent batting average at home.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Mariners-Rays Odds
Seattle Mariners: -1.5 (+152)
Moneyline: -108
Tampa Bay Rays: +1.5 (-184)
Moneyline: -108
Over: 7 (-115)
Under: 7 (-105)
How to Watch Mariners vs. Rays
Time: 12:10 PM ET/ 9:10 AM PT
TV: RSNW/BSSUN
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Mariners Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Mariners are 22nd in the run scored, 29th in batting average, 25th in on-base percentage, and 24th in slugging. Cal Raleigh has led the way this year. He is hitting just .201 on the year, but he has 13 home runs and 46 RBIs, both the most on the team. He has also scored 29 times. Leading the team in hitting is Julio Rodriguez. He is hitting .257 on the year with a .308 on-base percentage. Rodriguez has just seven home runs, with 29 RBIs, but has stolen 16 bases and scored 36 times. Also having a solid year is Ty France. France is hitting .233 with a .327 on-base percentage. He has seven home runs, 27 RBIs, and scored 24 times this year.
Ryan Bliss has been on a hot streak in the last week. In his last week, he is hitting .538 with a .600 on-base percentage. Bliss has three doubles and a triple, leading to five RBIs and a run scored. JP Crawford has also been solid in the last week. He is hitting .269 with a .387 on-base percentage. Crawford has a home run and five RBIs, plus has scored four times. Rounding out the hottest bats is Dylan Moore. Moore is hitting .286 in the last week with two home runs, and four RBIs and has scored six times.
Current members of the Mariners have just five career at-bats against Ryan Pepiot. Josh Rojas is one for three with two walks. Jorge Polanco is one for two with a three-run home run.
Why The Rays Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Rays are 23rd in the majors in runs scored while sitting 20th in batting average, 15th in on-base percentage, and 27th in slugging. Isaac Paredes leads the way this year. He is hitting .277 on the year with a .363 on-base percentage. He has 11 home runs and 39 RBIS while scoring 29 times this year. Yandy Diaz has also been solid this year. He is hitting .273 on the year with a .332 on-base percentage. He has six home runs and 38 RBIS while scoring 30 times. Scoring plenty this year is Randy Arozarena. He is hitting just .191 on the year with a .304 on-base percentage. He has ten home runs and 27 RBIs while scoring 33 times this year.
Josh Lowe has been solid in the last week. He is hitting .385 in the last week with three home runs and two doubles. Lowe has seven RBIs and five runs scored in the last week. Yandy Diaz has also been great in the week. He is hitting .394 in the last week. He has two home runs and eight RBIs in the last week while scoring three times. Rounding out the top bats in the last week is Randy Arozarena. He is hitting .320 in the last week. He has a home run and five RBIs while scoring twice in the last week.
Current Rays have 44 career at-bats against George Kirby. They are hitting just .136 against him with two RBIs. Randy Arozarena has the most experience against Kirby, going two for eight with a double and a walk. Isaac Paredes has the most success, going two for three with an RBI.
Final Mariners-Rays Prediction & Pick
The Mariners are hitting better as of late, and have the much better pitcher in this one. While George Kirby has not been at his best this year, Ryan Pepiot has struggled consistently. Expect the Mariners to get the win in this one.
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Final Mariners-Rays Prediction & Pick: Mariners ML (-108)
