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The Atlanta Braves take on the Milwaukee Brewers. Check out our MLB odds series for our Braves Brewers prediction and pick.
Ian Anderson goes to the mound for the Braves, while Freddy Peralta gets the starting assignment for the Brewers.
Ian Anderson has a 4.20 ERA. He gave up five runs in 2 2/3 innings in his season opener over a full month ago. His ERA was 16.88 after that game. Obviously, he has gotten a lot better, which should shape your Braves Brewers prediction. Anderson has been consistent — not consistently great, but steady — since then. He has pitched five to six innings and allowed one to three runs in each of his last five starts. You know what you're going to get from him at this point.
Freddy Peralta has a 4.40 ERA, but there's something you need to know about that fact. Peralta gave up nine runs in his first two starts of the season, getting shelled in just seven total innings of work. In his last four starts, covering 21 2/3 innings, Peralta has allowed just five runs. He has rounded into form and gained a rhythm. His ERA after his second start on April 15 was 11.57, so he has trimmed down his ERA by more than seven full runs since then. He is on his game, and a good reason to think about taking Milwaukee when you make a Braves Brewers pick.
Courtesy of FanDuel, here are the Braves-Brewers MLB odds.
MLB Odds: Braves-Brewers Odds
Atlanta Braves: +1.5 (-182)
Milwaukee Brewers: -1.5 (+150)
Over: 7.5 (-118)
Under: 7.5 (-104)
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Why The Braves Could Cover the Spread
Surely the Braves are going to get better at some point and change the Braves Brewers odds. This team scuffled and struggled for most of the 2021 season before the light went on in early August and Atlanta rode that momentum all the way to a World Series championship. This team is too good and talented to remain in the doldrums much longer. Atlanta fans are used to this, and it is frustrating, but the idea that the Braves will remain under .500 into August for a second straight season just doesn't seem probable. The Braves are stuck in a rut where any game with good pitching seems to provide inadquate hitting, and any game with good hitting doesn't offer good pitching. The Braves are bound to get on a streak where the pitching and hitting are both good at the same time, or at least, the strengths outweigh the weaknesses by a slight margin.
Why The Brewers Could Cover the Spread
They are the better team. Atlanta is just way too inconsistent to merit any trust right now from an MLB odds vantage point. The Brewers are not playing great baseball, but they found a way to win a weekend series in Miami against the Marlins. Milwaukee has a deep and balanced batting order with some quality offseason acquisitions such as Hunter Renfroe, who has made the Brewers better and is sorely missed by the light-hitting Red Sox. Milwaukee lost to Atlanta in the NLDS last year but has a superior group and should be able to prove it on the field in Wisconsin.
Final Braves-Brewers Prediction & Pick
If these two starting pitchers are equal — and it certainly seems that they are, given their numbers and trends so far this season — the Brewers have the better hitting and are playing in their own hitter-friendly ballyard. Advantage Milwaukee.
Final Braves-Brewers Prediction & Pick: Brewers -1.5
