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A pair of hopeful National League contenders will be one of the premier games of the evening on Tuesday as the Milwaukee Brewers begin a three-game set in Queen against the New York Mets. It is about that time to take a sneak peek at our MLB odds series, where our Brewers-Mets prediction and pick will be made.
After a dreadful eight-game losing streak that saw the Brewers eventually fall behind the Cardinals in the NL Central, Milwaukee is in must-win mode as they head out to the east coast. Getting the start in this epic matchup will be right-handed hurler Adrian Houser, who is 3-6 with a 3.92 ERA.
With New York being home to two of the best teams in all of baseball, the Mets are starting to realize that they may be forming something special 62 games into the season. At 40-22, New York has one of the best records in the NL and sit five games in front of the Braves for first place in the National League East. Ready to square off with the Brewers will be RHP Chris Bassitt, who has a record of 4-4 and a below-average 4.35 ERA.
Courtesy of FanDuel, here are the Brewers-Mets MLB odds.
MLB Odds: Brewers-Mets Odds
Milwaukee Brewers: +1.5 (-150)
New York Mets: -1.5 (+125)
Over: 8 (-110)
Under: 8 (-110)
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Why The Brewers Could Cover the Spread
Outside of their disastrous losing streak, the Brewers have been one of the more productive squads in all of the National League. Unfortunately, the Brewers losing ways came at the worst possible time, and have since surrendered their season-long division lead to the Cardinals. However, most teams throughout the MLB marathon of a season experience losing stretches, and with a 4-1 victory over the Nationals finally putting the Brew Crew back in the win column, Milwaukee can hopefully put their best food forward from here on out. The Brewers certainly will not have an easy task ahead of them, as they are facing off with a Mets squad that is as lethal as they come.
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Fortunately for the Brewers, Milwaukee possesses the talent from the pitching side of things with a balanced attack from their starting staff and bullpen. Of course, reliever Josh Hader has been absolutely electric in closing things out in the later frames of ballgames with his 19 saved, but don't sleep on the ability of Milwaukee starters to pitch deep into games. So far, the Brewers have had 24 quality starts from starters, which is the ninth most in North America. This will be the key to success for Milwaukee on Tuesday, as the Brewers need all the help they can get.
Houser should feel the most pressure to get the job done this evening, as the Brewers' offense has been nearly non-existent over the last week-plus. Many could even point the finger and blame the losing streak on an offensive lineup that generated only 20 runs during the skid. If the Brew Crew can put their rear in gear at the plate, then the chances of them covering will increase exponentially with an additional stellar outing from Houser in the works.
Why The Mets Could Cover the Spread
While no division-leading team in baseball lost more games during the month of May, the Mets should still feel enthused about where they sit almost halfway through June. With a series-clinching win against the Angels on Sunday to wrap up a ten-game west coast trip that saw them go 5-5 overall, New York is more than happy to return home to Citi Field. The Mets have played fairly well in front of their home faithful, as they have compiled a 19-8 record in 27 games thus far.
Although the Mets have hit some bumps in the road as the summer months of the season have finally arrived, give credit where credit is due: New York has not faltered. Arguably, the Mets seem to be at their best when their backs are up against the wall, as they more often than not respond in dominating fashion after laying an egg the game prior.
The pitching may deserve its recognition from time to time, but there is no debate that the source of the Mets' success has come from the bats. Statistically speaking, few teams have been able to replicate the success and command that New York has shown in 2022. In fact, New York leads the league in multiple categories such as runs scored (316), batting average (.265), and even on-base percentage (.336). With the scheduled starter in Bassitt scuffling at times, the Mets will cover the spread on Tuesday simply because of their offense.
Final Brewers-Mets Prediction & Pick
Milwaukee is currently in the face of the adversity storm, while the Mets have proven that they can stay even-keeled when struck with bad fortune. While the Brewers can certainly cover the spread in this one, the wise pick is to take the Mets at home with the -1.5 differential.
Final Brewers-Mets Prediction & Pick: Mets -1.5 (+125)
