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The Los Angeles Dodgers will take on the Arizona Diamondbacks on Tuesday night. It's time to continue our MLB odds series and make a Dodgers-Diamondbacks prediction and pick.
The Dodgers have gotten off to as good a start as anyone could ask for. Los Angeles lost their opening series, but have won every single series since, including impressive victories over Atlanta Braves and the San Diego Padres. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, haven't had quite the same success. They are yet to score a series victory, and they're currently in the cellar of the NL West with a 6-11 record. Regardless of the records at play, this divisional contest should be an interesting one. Let's get into the pick.
Courtesy of FanDuel, here are the Dodgers-Diamondbacks MLB odds:
MLB Odds: Dodgers-Diamondbacks Odds
Los Angeles Dodgers: -1.5 (-154)
Arizona Diamondbacks: +1.5 (+128)
Over: 10 (-114)
Under: 10 (-106)
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Why The Dodgers Could Cover The Spread
It's clear that the Dodgers have the more talented team, particularly when it comes to lineups. Los Angeles has one of the best offensive teams in the MLB. They currently rank inside the top ten in batting average, OBP, OPS, and slugging percentage. The Dodgers have scored four or more runs in four of their last five games, including a ten-run explosion against the Padres. Now they face a a poor pitcher in Arizona starter Zach Davies.
Davies has pitched a total of 14 innings this season, and the results haven't exactly been inspiring. He's earned a 5.02 ERA to go along with a 1.33 WHIP over three starts. In one of his starts against the Washington Nationals, Davies was hammered for four runs over four innings. The Dodgers are an even better offense than the Nationals are, so there's reason to think that Davies will have another tough outing in this one.
Why The Diamondbacks Could Cover The Spread
Arizona will face Dodgers pitcher Tony Gonsolin in this game. Gonsolin has pitched well this season, but the Diamondback hitters have a good history against him. Three players in the lineup have a career batting average of .300 or higher against Gonsolin, and the righty's history against Arizona isn't all that great. In his last three starts against the Diamondbacks, Gonsolin pitched exceptionally poorly in two of them. It's not out of the question that Gonsolin struggles once more against a lineup that has been strong against him.
Home field advantage should help the Diamondbacks out a little bit here. The Dodgers have been slightly worse on offense when they play away from home, scoring a lower batting average, OBP, and OPS when they play away from home. Davies has also been significantly better when playing at home, earning a much better ERA while holding opponents to a .222 batting average. There's a chance that Arizona keeps things close in this game thanks to the venue.
Final Dodgers-Diamondbacks Prediction & Pick
This is a fairly simple pick. The Dodgers enter this game as one of the hotter teams in baseball, and they face a struggling pitcher. Lock in Los Angeles to win and cover here.
Final Dodgers-Diamondbacks Prediction & Pick: Dodgers: -1.5 (-154)
