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The Seattle Mariners take on the Toronto Blue Jays. Check out our MLB odds series for our Mariners Blue Jays prediction and pick.
Marco Gonzales gets the call for the Mariners, while Kevin Gausman starts for the Blue Jays.
Marco Gonzales has a 3.38 ERA. He has made seven starts this season, and four have been good to great. In those four starts, Gonzales has given up eight runs in 26 innings. In one start, Gonzales got hit by a baseball and had to leave after getting just one out. In his other two starts, he gave up six runs and did not pitch past the fifth inning. Most of the time Gonzales performs well, and he has steadied himself in the month of May. Gonzales has pitched into the sixth inning or later in all three May starts. He has avoided the big inning. This is something to note when making a Mariners Blue Jays prediction. Gonzales outdueled Max Scherzer of the New York Mets last Friday, leading Seattle to a 2-1 win in New York.
Kevin Gausman has a 2.40 ERA. He has been pitching like an ace for Toronto. Gausman's worst start of the season wasn't particularly bad; it just wasn't as strong as most of his starts. Gausman allowed three runs on eight hits in five innings to the Rangers on April 9. He hasn't allowed more than three earned runs in any of his seven starts. He has pitched into the seventh inning four times and completed seven or more innings three times. He has completed eight innings in one of his starts. He is a workhorse with wipeout stuff who has carried his 2021 momentum into 2022. Last year, Gausman was part of a strong San Francisco Giant pitching rotation. Now he is an anchor for the Blue Jays and a great reason to take Toronto in a Mariners Blue Jays pick.
Courtesy of FanDuel, here are the Mariners-Blue Jays MLB odds.
MLB Odds: Mariners-Blue Jays Odds
Seattle Mariners: +1.5 (-104)
Toronto Blue Jays: -1.5 (-115)
Over: 7.5 (-118)
Under: 7.5 (-104)
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Why The Mariners Could Cover the Spread
The Toronto Blue Jays have not hit particularly well this year, or at least, not as well as most MLB odds analysts figured they would. It has been a struggle for the Jays at the plate. Toronto entered play one week ago (May 11) hitting under .200 with runners in scoring position and being a middle-of-the-pack team in Major League Baseball in BABIP. Some hard-hit balls are finding gloves, but part of the bad BABIP numbers for the Jays flow from not hitting balls into the gaps or down the lines. It's true that an injury to Teoscar Hernandez slowed down this offense, as did an injury to catcher Danny Jansen, but even with those two guys missing some time, this is still a loaded lineup. Vladimir Guererro Jr., Bo Bichette, George Springer, and Lourdes Gurriel should not be getting handcuffed to the extent that they are. Some people will cite the dead baseball and the fact that balls aren't flying out of parks the way they did last year, but that accounts for only a small part of Toronto's hitting struggles.
Marco Gonzales has been a very solid starter for the Mariners. Seattle has to feel good about any game in which he takes the bump.
Why The Blue Jays Could Cover the Spread
After getting shoved around by a brutal schedule — the Jays have already played the Yankees nine times, six in New York — the reeling Mariners have given Toronto a bounce-back opportunity. The Jays have won the first two games of this series and have limited the weak-hitting Mariners to just two runs in those games.
The Mariners have been a massive disappointment, starting the season 11-6 but then losing 15 of their last 20 to fall to 16-21. They just can't hit. Their new additions, Eugenio Suarez and Jesse Winker in particular, have been busts. In this disastrous stretch of 20 games, Seattle's 5-15 record is almost entirely due to an offense which has averaged under three runs per game in that stretch. Ty France is a baller, but he has noticeably little help in this batting order.
Guess who Seattle has to face? Kevin Gausman, who hasn't allowed a home run in his last 53 innings and is pitching like a legitimate ace.
Final Mariners-Blue Jays Prediction & Pick
Gausman against the Mariner hitters? This is not a complicated pick.
Final Mariners Blue Jays Prediction & Pick: Blue Jays -1.5
