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The Baltimore Orioles and Miami Marlins will kickoff a three-game series at Camden Yards on Tuesday night. It’s time to continue our MLB odds series and make a Marlins-Orioles prediction and pick.
This game features two rebuilding clubs that aren't competing for much of anything in 2021. They have both played fairly well of late however and may make for an exciting inter-league series in Baltimore. We will get to see some exciting young talents in this game and some guys that may be moving to a contender within the next week or so.
Here’s how sportsbooks have set the opening Marlins-Orioles odds.
MLB Odds: Marlins-Orioles Odds
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Miami Marlins -1.5 (+117)
Baltimore Orioles +1.5 (-137)
Over 9.5 Runs (-102)
Under 9.5 Runs (-118)
Why The Marlins Could Cover The Spread
The Miami Marlins haven't had the season they would've hoped for following their playoff appearance in 2020. The Marlins are now 43-57 on the year, which leaves them well out of playoff contention in the NL East. Their struggles have mostly come on the road as they've lost four of their last five to fall to 19-34 away from home. Miami has won three of their last five games and has fared well against Baltimore with wins in five of their last six games head-to-head.
Miami will turn to right-hander Sandy Alcantara for the series opener. Alcantara has been solid for Miami with a 5-9 record and 3.23 ERA through 20 starts. The record is certainly deceiving as the Marlins starter has an impressive 1.15 WHIP through 119.2 innings of work. He has a 2.88 ERA over his last seven starts as well. The 25-year-old right-hander has allowed three earned runs in four innings or fewer in each of his last two starts to date.
Why The Orioles Could Cover The Spread
The Baltimore Orioles are clearly one of the worst teams in baseball as they're in the midst of a long-term rebuild. They have some exciting young pieces like Trey Mancini, but the overall product on the field is well below average. The Orioles have played well of late with wins in six of their last eight games however. Baltimore is 16-30 at home and 34-64 on the season. Their -1.76 average run differential in home games is among the worst in all of baseball. The O's will look to stay hot against a Marlins club that has some motivated players with the trade deadline approaching.
Baltimore will turn to right-hander Spenser Watkins for the series opener. Watkins has impressed this season with a 2-0 record and 1.65 ERA through four appearances and three starts. He has allowed just three earned runs over 16.1 innings innings of work. The rookie has allowed just one earned run through at least 4.1 innings in each of his first three starts and will look to carry that momentum into his fourth start of the season.
Final Marlins-Orioles Prediction & Pick
This game should feature solid pitching and lackluster offense. These are two of the worst clubs in baseball that haven't impressed with the bats, to say the least. The two starting pitchers have shut down some of the best lineups in baseball and will be motivated to earn a win in a great spot. These clubs have averaged a combined 8.07 runs per game, which is below the set total for this contest. I expect a tight Marlins victory with the under being the best play.
FINAL PICK: Under 9.5 Runs (-118)
