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The New York Mets take on the Los Angeles Dodgers. Check out our MLB odds series for our Mets Dodgers prediction and pick.
David Peterson gets the start for the Mets, while Walker Buehler goes to the hill for the Dodgers.
David Peterson has a 3.03 ERA, but numbers don't really mean much for Peterson or anyone trying to make a Mets Dodgers prediction right now. Peterson has pitched only 29 2/3 innings this season, and he has given up 10 runs in his last three starts. He began the season well in April but began to be figured out in May. He has not pitched beyond the sixth inning in any of his six starts. He merits a wait-and-see approach in terms of what the expectations should be for him as he carries forward with this season. The Mets need him, though, especially for the length of time that Max Scherzer and Jacob deGrom remain unavailable due to injuries.
Walker Buehler has had a disappointing season. He gave up multiple home runs to the Pittsburgh Pirates in his most recent start and did not look sharp. He has not dominated hitters this season. He looks relatively mortal most of the time, and we are waiting for the sequence of the season in which he shuts down opposing hitters with great regularity. That has not happened yet in 2022. Buehler has a 3.22 ERA. His ERA has risen by more than 1.2 runs in his last four starts. He is not the automatic choice in a Mets Dodgers pick based on the current MLB odds.
Courtesy of FanDuel, here are the Mets-Dodgers MLB odds.
MLB Odds: Mets-Dodgers Odds
New York Mets: +1.5 (-132)
Los Angeles Dodgers: -1.5 (+110)
Over: 8,5 (-120)
Under: 8.5 (-102)
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Why The Mets Could Cover the Spread
The Mets have lost two straight games and have been shut down by Dodger pitching. This team has been so good about avoiding prolonged losing streaks this season. The Mets rally after getting punched in the mouth. They respond to whatever adversity comes their way, shown by their ability to remain strong even without Scherzer and deGrom. The Mets have the look of a team which is equipped to win in October, especially once it gets the big starters back onto the mound. In connection to this specific game, the balanced and deep New York batting order is due to break out after a few games in which it failed to do much of anything. Walker Buehler has struggled this year and frankly does not deserve the benefit of the doubt right now. That's a weird thing to say, but Buehler has not been convincing this year. Until he gets into a rhythm, a skeptical view is warranted.
Why The Dodgers Could Cover the Spread
After getting swept by the Pirates, the Dodgers have responded against the Mets with the level of play one would expect from a team with the Dodgers' record and overall talent. The Dodgers should be able to tee off against David Peterson, who has struggled in his last three starts and is not a workhorse-level starting pitcher. Peterson is unproven, and the Dodgers are very much a proven team. The math is not that complicated.
Final Mets-Dodgers Prediction & Pick
This is a good bounce-back spot for the Mets, but David Peterson is not a convincing starting pitcher. The best play here is the over, with both teams likely to score at least four runs. One of them will score at least six.
Final Mets-Dodgers Prediction & Pick: Over 8.5
