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The Boston Red Sox take on the Atlanta Braves. Check out our MLB odds series, for our Red Sox Braves prediction and pick.
Nate Eovaldi gets the ball for the Red Sox, while Ian Anderson gets the start for the Braves.
Nate Eovaldi has a 2.94 ERA. He hasn't given up more than three runs in any of his starts this season. He has avoided the big inning and has kept the Red Sox competitive. Eovaldi is part of Boston's improbably bad start to the season. The starters are regularly doing well, but the complete lack of offense and the dramatic failures of the bullpen have still caused the Red Sox to fall several games under .500. Eovaldi is generally doing his part, but he and the rest of the Boston rotation have not gotten help from their teammates many times this season. This is something to remember when making a Red Sox Braves prediction.
Ian Anderson has a 4.01 ERA, but he has been a solid pitcher for the Braves. He had a terrible first game of the season, giving up five runs to the Reds in just 2 2/3 innings of work, but since then he has been strong and effective. His ERA after the Reds game was 16.88. He has reduced his ERA in each of his subsequent starts, so you should not look at him as a four-run ERA pitcher. More like three. This should be factored into the Red Sox Braves odds.
Courtesy of FanDuel, here are the Red Sox-Braves MLB odds.
MLB Odds: Red Sox-Braves Odds
Boston Red Sox: -1.5 (+188)
Atlanta Braves: +1.5 (-230)
Over: 8 (-110)
Under: 8 (-110)
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Why The Red Sox Could Cover the Spread
The Red Sox finally won a game and finally busted loose on offense Tuesday night. They needed a game like that after so many struggles at the plate. When a slumping team finally gets over the hump and plays a good game in which a lot of different hitters contribute, that's exactly how a team can jump-start its season and get everyone hitting well. Teams go through slumps and bad cycles, and they also go through good cycles. This is certainly a game in which we could see the Red Sox enter a good cycle. It's part of the formula when thinking about a prediction.
Also, the Braves are in the midst of a struggle-bus season. Before you express surprise, remember that the Braves had a very hard time getting over the .500 mark last year. This year is nothing new. This is a team in search of itself, and while it should be good by September, it isn't very good right now. That matters.
Why The Braves Could Cover the Spread
After getting crushed on Tuesday, the Braves will be motivated to come back on Wednesday and get things right versus the Red Sox. Boston is a bad team. It played well on Tuesday, but that shouldn't be viewed as a reason to assume the Red Sox will continue to hit on Wednesday. The Braves are struggling, but after one really bad game, they have a good chance to bounce back. At some point, this team is going to catch fire, and in many ways, the Braves are more likely than the Red Sox to bounce back and make a run at the postseason, if we are being honest. The Braves should not be written off this year.
Final Red Sox-Braves Prediction & Pick
If you like Nate Eovaldi's pitching but you're skeptical of the Red Sox in general, just take the Braves plus the run and a half and maybe add a smaller Red Sox moneyline play.
Final Red Sox-Braves Prediction & Pick: Braves +1.5
