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It is an NL East afternoon game as the Philadelphia Phillies face the New York Mets. It is time to continue our MLB odds series with a Phillies-Mets prediction and pick.
The Mets enter the series sitting at 19-20 on the year, which is good for third in the division, tied with the Washington Nationals, and eight games back of the Phillies. They are coming off winning just one of them against the Braves over the weekend. Meanwhile, the Phillies just took two of three from the Marlins and are sitting at 28-13 on the year, which is first in the NL East. The two will play the first game of the series on Monday night. It will be Christopher Sanchez going for the Phillies. He is 2-3 with a 3.22 ERA. Sean Manaea will go for the Mets. He is 2-1 with a 3.31 ERA.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Phillies-Mets Odds
Philadelphia Phillies: -1.5 (+112)
Moneyline: -146
New York Mets: +1.5 (-134)
Moneyline: +124
Over: 8 (-105)
Under: 8 (-115)
How to Watch Phillies vs. Mets
Time: 1:10 PM ET/ 10:10 AM PT
TV: NBC10/SNY
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Phillies Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Phillies are second in the majors in runs scored, while sitting 3rd in batting average, second in on-base percentage, and third in slugging. At the quarter-mark of the season, Alex Bohm is showing himself a be a force. He is hitting .338 on the year with a .400 on-base percentage. Bohm has 15 doubles a triple and four home runs. This has led to 32 RBIs. Bohm has also scored 21 times this year. Driving in runs is something Bryce Harper has done well this year. He is hitting .261 on the year with a .387 on-base percentage. Harper has six doubles and nine home runs this year, leading to his 29 RBIs. He also has scored 22 times.
Meanwhile, Kyle Schwarber and Bryson Stott are also playing great this year. Schwarber is hitting just .217, but that is not abnormal for him. He is getting on base at a .320 rate, with nine home runs. He has scored 30 times and driven in 25. Stott has hit .270 on the year with a .370 on-base percentage. He has five doubles, two triples, and three home runs. This has led to 23 RBIs. Further, Stott has stolen ten bases and scored 21 times.
The Phillies are fourth in team ERA this year, sixth in WHIP, and seventh in opponent batting average. It will be Aaron Nola on the mound for the Phillies. He is 4-2 with a 3.67 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP this year. Last time out was his worst start of the year. He allowed four runs in 5.2 innings against the Blue Jays, taking the loss. The current Mets have 243 at-bats against Nola. They have hit .267 against him with a .333 on-base percentage. Furthermore, he has allowed eight home runs and 28 RBIs. Pete Alonso is hitting .348 against him with five home runs and 11 RBIs in his career.
Why The Mets Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Mets are 18th in the majors in runs this year while sitting 19th in batting average and 15th in on-base percentage. Further, the Mets are 19th in slugging. Brandon Nimmo has led the way this year. He is hitting .234 on theyar with a .379 on-base percentage. He has seven doubles, a triple, and six home runs. This has led to 27 RBIs and 21 runs scored. Joining Nimmo in driving in runs is Pete Alonso. He is hitting just .223 on the year but has a .305 on-base percentage. ALsonso has seven doubles and nine home runs, leading to 22 RBIs and 22 runs scored.
Meanwhile, Francisco Lindor has been solid this year. He is hitting .214 on the year but with a .281 on-base percentage. Lindor has eight doubles while also having seven home runs. Further, he has 21 RBIs and 23 runs scored on the year.
Mets pitching is 11th in team ERA while sitting 21st in WHIP, and sixth in opponent batting average. Jose BUtton will be on the mound for the Mets in this one. He is 1-2 on the year with a 3.00 ERA. Last time out, he gave up three runs in five innings a the MEts beat the Cardinals. Butto has not faced a current member of the Braves in his career.
Final Mets-Rays Prediction & Pick
While Jose Button has not been bad this year, he has not been as good as Nola. Further, the Phillies offense is amazing. The Mets do not score enough to keep up with the Phillies. If they can get to Nola, the Phillies have a solid bullpen that will stop the bleeding and allow them to catch up. This will be a Phillie win on Tuesday afternoon.
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Final Mets-Rays Prediction & Pick: Phillies ML
