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It is an all-Flordia battle as the Tampa Bay Rays travel to face the Miami Marlins. It is time to continue our MLB odds series with a Rays-Marlins prediction and pick.
The Rays enter the series sitting at 29-31 on the year, which is tied for fourth in the AL East. They are 12.5 games back of the Yankees, tied with Toronto in that spot. The Rays just lost two of three over the weekend in Baltimore, falling further behind in the division. Meanwhile, the Marlins are 21-19 on the year, sitting in last in the NL East. They are 20 games behind the Phillies in the division and just lost two of three to the Rangers over the weekend.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Rays-Marlins Odds
Tampa Bay Rays: -1.5 (+138)
Moneyline: -120
Miami Marlins: +1.5 (-166)
Moneyline: +102
Over: 7.5 (-108)
Under: 7.5 (-112)
How to Watch Rays vs. Marlins
Time: 6:40 PM ET/ 3:40 PM PT
TV: BSSUN/BSFL
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Rays Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Rays are 23rd in the majors in runs scored this year while sitting 21st in batting average, 18th in on-base percentage, and 28th in slugging. Isaac Paredes has been amazing this year. He is hitting .291 on the year with a .381 on-base percentage. He has 11 doubles and 10 home runs this year, good for 32 total RBIs and 24 runs scored. Meanwhile, Yandy Diaz is also driving in runs. He is hitting .243 on the year with a .318 on-base percentage. Diaz has 11 doubles and four home runs, leading to 29 RBIs and 22 runs scored.
Jose Caballero is also having an amazing year. He is hitting .260 with a .318 on-base percentage. He has stolen 20 bases and scored 27 times. Further, Caballero has nine doubles, and three home runs, good for 18 RBIs. Meanwhile, Randy Arozarena is struggling some. He is hitting just .162 on the year with a .263 on-base percentage. He has eight home runs, leading to 19 RBIs and 25 runs scored.
The Rays are 24th in team ERA while sitting 15th in WHIP and 21st in opponent batting average. The Rays will be sending Ryan Pepiot to the mound in this one. He is 3-2 on the year with a 3.88 ERA and a .95 WHIP. Last time out, he gave up two runs in 5.2 innings of work. Pepiot has not been great in his last two starts. In the two games, he has given up five runs in 9.2 innings of work, as the Rays have gone 1-1 in those games. Current Marlins have 29 career at-bats against Pepiot, and they are hitting just .138 against him with one RBI.
Why The Marlins Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Marlins sit 29th in the majors in runs scored this year while sitting 17th in batting average, 29th in on-base percentage, and 29th in slugging. Bryan De La Cruz and Jazz Chsiholm Jr. have led the way this year. De La Cruz is hitting .249 on the year with a .306 on-base percentage. He has nine doubles and nine home runs, good for 25 RBIs. Further, he has scored 27 times this year. Chisholm is hitting .252 on the year with a .321 on-base percentage. He has eight home runs, 11 doubles, and three triples. This has led to 29 RBIs. Further, he has 11 stolen bases and 28 runs scored this year.
Josh Bell also has been solid this year. He is hitting .243 on the year with a .316 on-base percentage. He has 11 doubles and six home runs, which has led to 28 RBIs. Further, he has 24 runs scored this year. Rounding out the top bats is Jesus Sanchez. He is hitting .250 on the year with a .305 on-base percentage. He also has five doubles and four home runs. This has led to 22 RBIs and 14 runs scored.
Marlins pitching is 27th in team ERA while sitting 28th in WHIP, and 25th in opponent batting average. Jesus Luzardo will be on the mound for this one. He is 2-4 with a 4.18 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP. Last time out, Luzardo gave up three runs in six innings and took the loss. That was a fall from the two games before that. In those two starts, Luzardo went 14 innings, giving up just eight hits and no runs. Current members of the Rays have 36 at-bats against Luzardo, hitting. 278 against Luzardo with four RBIs.
Final Rays-Marlins Prediction & Pick
This game will come down to how the two starting pitchers do. Neither team has played great this year. The offense is better for the Rays, and overall, the pitching is better for the Rays as well. Still, the Marlins have the better starter going in this one. Jesus Luzardo has been solid this year. Still, the best play in this game is to take the under.
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Final Rays-Marlins Prediction & Pick: Under 7.5 (-112)
