Baylor will take on Oklahoma State in what is an important Big 12 game in college football this Saturday. It's time to continue our College Football odds series and make a Baylor-Oklahoma State prediction and pick.
Both Baylor and Oklahoma State come into play on Saturday undefeated at 4-0. Baylor is coming off of an upset 31-29 win over then No.14 Iowa State this past Saturday. Oklahoma State knocked off No. 25 Kansas State with a sound 31-20 victory last week. Baylor boasts one of the best rushing attacks in college football so far this season, ranking sixth in the nation with 273 rushing yards per game. Gerry Bohannon has been solid at quarterback for the Bears as well, completing 73% of his passes with seven touchdowns to zero interceptions. Oklahoma State is just 2-2 against the spread, while Baylor is 3-1.
Here's how the bookmakers have set the Baylor-Oklahoma State odds for Saturday's matchup.
College Football Odds: Baylor-Oklahoma State Odds
Oklahoma State -3.5 (-115)
Baylor +3.5 (-105)
Over 47.5 points (-105)
Under 47.5 points (-115)
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Why Baylor Could Cover The Spread
Baylor's rushing attack seems legit, but they will be tested by the Cowboys' stout rush defense this weekend. Oklahoma State has allowed just 87 rushing yards per game so far in 2021, good enough to crack the top-20 in the country. Baylor found a way to run for over 100 yards and generate offense last week by an even higher ranked Iowa State rush defense (seventh in the nation with just 68.8 rushing yards allowed per game), so perhaps they can find a way to be effective again this week. The Bears also boast a top-15 passing defense, allowing an average of just 149 yards per game so far this season. This will be a tough test as it's a road game and a 6 pm local kickoff, but Baylor has a recipe for controlling the clock and playing sound defense that should keep them in the game.
Why Oklahoma State Could Cover The Spread
Oklahoma State can run the ball as well, and while they may not have the same rushing statistics as Baylor, they have faced tougher competition so far this season. Non-conference games against two solid defenses in Tulsa and Boise State (along with the Big 12 matchup vs. Kansas State last week) leave the Cowboys averaged under 150 rushing yards per game. Baylor has not faced another quality opponent other than Iowa State, so their rushing averages could still be a bit inflated at this point. Oklahoma State has the benefit of a home game with an evening kickoff, so the crowd is sure to be roaring in Stillwater come Saturday night.
Final Baylor-Oklahoma State Prediction & Pick
Both of these teams like to run the ball, and both have played solid defense so far this season. The under is tempting, but it's a little too early to bank on these defenses just yet. Baylor and the points seem like the safest play in a game that is probably a toss-up, even if it will be a road test for the Bears. Bohannon has been solid and made very few mistakes at the helm for Baylor this season. Neither team feels likely to run away with this game, so ride with Baylor and the 3.5 points.
FINAL BAYLOR-OKLAHOMA STATE PREDICTION & PICK : Baylor +3.5 (-105)
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