The Florida Gators and LSU Tigers face off in an SEC showdown from Tiger Stadium on Saturday. The Gators are coming off a dominant shutout victory at home versus Vanderbilt last week. The Tigers have lost back-to-back games and will look to rebound at home. Both teams always play each other close, so it should be a fun one to watch on Saturday. With that said, it's a good time to check out our college football series, which includes Florida-LSU prediction, odds, and pick we have laid out below.
Here's how the bookmakers have set the Florida-LSU odds:
College Football Odds: Florida – LSU Odds
Florida: -11.5 (-110)
LSU: +11.5 (-110)
Over: 59.5 (-115)
Under: 59.5 (-105)
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Why Florida Could Cover the Spread
The Florida Gators rebounded in Week 6 against the Vanderbilt Commodores, winning 42-0 to improve to a 4-2 record. Quarterback Emory Jones threw for 273 yards and four touchdowns in the route. On the season, the Gators rank in the top ten in yards per game with 504.2. The offense ranks 3rd in the nation in yards per play (7.1) and 29th overall in points per game (33.2). The rushing attack for Florida is vital to their success. They lead the nation in yards per rush (6.7) and average 274 rush yards per game.
The Gators defense has been successful this season as well. They are yielding 16.5 points per game to opponents, which is the 12th fewest in the nation. In their blowout win last week, the Florida defense forced two turnovers and gave up just 88 total rush yards to the Commodores. Florida is 5-1 against the spread in their last five conference games.
Why LSU Could Cover the Spread
The LSU Tigers did not get out to the start they wanted for their 2021 campaign. They have been playing inconsistent football and are reluctant to have a .500 record. Last game, the Tigers could not stop Kentucky on the ground, giving up 330 rush yards and 7.7 yards per play in the loss. If the Tigers fall behind early against the Gators, it will be a long afternoon for them. LSU offense is led by quarterback Max Johnson who has 1,730 passing yards and 17 touchdowns. Wideout Kayshon Boutte leads the Tigers with 509 receiving yards and nine touchdowns. The offense as a whole averages 394.4 yards on 28.8 points per game.
The Tigers lead the nation in red zone scoring percentage (100%), meaning they have yet to fail to convert inside the 20-yard line. Defensively, the Tigers give up 30 points per game to opponents, which is a few points under Florida's average. Fortunately for LSU, the Gators are 1-5-1 against the spread in their last seven games after a straight-up win. The Tigers are 10-3 against the spread in their last 13 after an ATS loss.
Final Florida-LSU Prediction & pick
The Gators are the overall better team in this contest. LSU has the advantage of being at home; however, the defense could have a nightmare against the Gators' ground game averaging close to 300 rush yards per contest. Max Johnson will need a big passing performance to keep up with the Gators, yet I think this defense will be too much for him to handle. This is a large spread for a Florida Gators team that is 0-5 against the spread in their last five games as a road favorite. I still believe they win this game by two touchdowns, thus covering the double-digit spread.
Final LSU-Florida Pick – Gators -11.5
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