Michigan State vs. Miami prediction, odds, pick, and more
The Michigan State Spartans will be looking to improve to 3-0 as they travel south to face the No. 24 Miami Hurricanes (1-1) in a Big Ten-ACC showdown. It’s time to continue our College Football odds series and make a Michigan State-Miami prediction and pick based on Michigan State Miami odds.
The Spartans’ two wins this season have come over Northwestern and Youngstown State. Meanwhile, the Hurricanes were able to pick up their first victory of the season last weekend after hanging on to defeat Application state 25-23.
Here’s how sportsbooks have set the Michigan State-Miami Odds.
College Football Odds: Michigan State-Miami Odds
Michigan State Spartans +6.5 (-107)
Miami Hurricanes -6.5 (-113)
Over 56.5 points (-112)
Under 56.5 points (-108)
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Why The Michigan State Spartans Could Cover The Spread
The Spartans are 1-0-1 against the spread this season and have hit the over in both games.
Michigan State already has one upset win this season. They won 38-21 against the Northwestern Wildcats in Week 1, where the bookmakers had them as 3-point underdogs. Head coach Mel Tucker has re-energized this offense back to its level in 2017 when they had 10 wins. Think about that when making a Michigan State Miami prediction.
Throughout the Spartans’ first two games, they averaged 38 points per game and earned over 5oo yards of total offense in each contest. Much of the success out of the offense is due to their offensive line and running game. Starting running back Kenneth Walker III averages 10.7 yards per carrying, the third-best amongst all FBS running backs. He also has the second-most rushing touchdowns to this point with five.
— Michigan State Football (@MSU_Football) September 15, 2021
The Spartans see a drop-off on the defensive side of the ball, but they still get the job done. They give up an average of 21 points per game. However, this Michigan State team’s one point of concern is that they have yet to force a turnover.
Why The Miami Hurricanes Could Cover The Spread
The Hurricanes are 0-2 against the spread this season and have gone under the scoring total in both games. Take note of that when considering your Michigan State Miami pick.
Miami came into this preseason with extremely high expectations and has not lived up to them through the first two regular-season games. Many overlook the 44-13 loss to Alabama in Week 1, but the fact they barely held on to a victory against Appalachian State raised eyebrows for many analysts and fans.
The Hurricanes were able to bring back 19 starters this season, including starting quarterback D’Eriq King. King has been efficient this season. In the last game, he rushed for 200 yards and earned an additional 67 with his feet. However, the rest of the offense has gotten off to a slow start. Miami is ranked 93rd in the FBS for total yards per game at 328.5 and are earning just 3.9 yards per rushing attempt. This affects the Michigan State Miami odds.
Ready to lay it all on the line. pic.twitter.com/er7AMyXpjG
— Canes Football (@CanesFootball) September 17, 2021
Defensively, Miami’s season numbers are a bit inflated given that they played Alabama in Week 1. Still, against Appalachian State, they allowed 326 total yards (199 passing yards and 127 rushing yards) yards and forced one interception.
Final Michigan State-Miami Prediction & Pick
After analyzing both teams through their first two games, it seems that Michigan State deserves to be ranked No.24 and not Miami. The Spartans will control the game’s pace with their rushing attack and tired out the Hurricanes defense.
Miami also lost two key players in their win against Appalachian State. Don Chaney Jr. suffered a right knee injury and will be out for the remainder of the season. Starting linebacker Keontra Smith picked up a severe knock and is expected to be sidelined through early October.
For those reasons, look for Miami to cover the spread, and do not shy away from putting them in an underdog moneyline parlay.
FINAL MICHIGAN STATE-MIAMI PREDICTION & PICK: Miami Hurricanes+6.5 (-107)