Colombia enters this tournament as one of the hottest nations, on an unbelievable unbeaten run that features plenty of good soccer nations. Paraguay is in the opposite form, and their recent run lack of wins includes a loss to Colombia in World Cup Qualifying in November. It is time to continue our Copa America odds series with a Colombia-Paraguay prediction, pick, and how-to-watch.

Colombia’s last loss came on February 1st, 2022, giving them a 23-game unbeaten run. Their form recently has been off the charts, including two friendlies in June where they beat the United States 5-1 and Bolivia 3-0. They also have victories over Spain, Mexico, and Brazil since November 2023. Colombia lost on penalties to Argentina in their Copa America run in 2021 but beat Peru 3-2 in the third-place match.

Paraguay had a 1-1-1 record in June friendlies. They beat Panama in the last game, three days after losing 3-0 to Chile. They also drew Peru in the first friendly of the month. Paraguay made it to the knockout stage in the 2021 Copa America but lost on penalties to Peru in the quarterfinals.

Here are the 2024 Copa America odds, courtesy of FanDuel. 

2024 Copa America Odds: Colombia-Paraguay Odds

Colombia: -150

Paraguay: +450

Draw: +260

Over 2.5 goals: +125

Under 2.5 goals: -165

How to Watch Colombia vs. Paraguay

Time: 6 PM ET/3 PM PT


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Why Colombia Will Win

The Paraguay defense is tough, but Luis Diaz and James Rodriguez have dominated defenses over Colombia’s 23-game unbeaten run. Colombia’s test will come in the final group stage game against Brazil, and there’s a good chance it will feature two unbeaten teams vying for first in the group.

The game could come down to Colombia’s midfielders, Jefferson Lerma and Daniel Munoz. The Crystal Palace teammates must help Diaz and Rodriguez in attack, as it’ll be hard to break down Paraguay’s stingy back line by themselves.

Why Paraguay Will Win

Can Miguel Amiron make something out of nothing and grab a critical goal for Paraguay in this matchup? He hasn’t been able to score for Paraguay, as they’ve scored zero goals in seven of their last nine games. Paraguay will try to win this game with defense, and they’ll need to win in a low-scoring matchup to escape with three points. It’ll be difficult for Paraguay to beat Colombia or Brazil, so they may be content to try and squeeze out some draws and then beat Costa Rica in the final match.

Can Paraguay pull this off if they play perfect defense? Yes, they can, but it won’t be easy.

Final Colombia-Paraguay Prediction & Pick

Colombia has a good offense, but we’re banking on them not to win by more than a 2-0 score in this game. Paraguay will come into this tournament with a defense-first approach because of their lack of attacking power. Paraguay has been shut out in seven of their last nine matches.

The under 2.5 goals hit in nine of Paraguay’s last ten matches, and it should continue in this game unless Colombia’s offense explodes. The opposite happened in Colombia’s games, as their games have gone over in four of their past six matches. Those results aren’t a concern, as these teams played five times since June 23rd, 2019. There have been a total of six goals scored, with all five games going under.

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Final Colombia-Paraguay Prediction & Pick: Under 2.5 Goals (-165)