It is game two of an interleague series as the New York Mets visit the Cleveland Guardians. It is time to continue our MLB odds series with a Mets-Guardians prediction and pick.
The Mets enter the series sitting at 21-25, third in the NL East. They had lost five of their last seven games before this series, including two of three to the last-placed Marlins. Meanwhile, the Guardians are 30-17 heading into this series. They had won six of seven, including a sweep of the Minnesota Twins. The two will face off to start their series on Monday night. The Mets will send Tylor Megill to the mound. He is 0-1 with a 2.25 ERA. The Guardians counter with Ben Lively. He is 2-2 with a 3.02 ERA.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Mets-Guardians Odds
New York Mets: -1.5 (+150)
Moneyline: +100
Cleveland Guardians: +1.5 (-182)
Moneyline: -118
Over: 9 (-122)
Under: 9 (+100)
How to Watch Mets vs. Guardians
Time: 6:10 PM ET/ 3:10 PM PT
TV: SNY/BSGL
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Mets Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Mets sit 16th in the majors in runs this year, while sitting 18th in batting average, 15th in on-base percentage, and 22nd in slugging. Brandon Nimmo has led the way on offense. He is not hitting just .217, but he gets on base at a .363 rate. He has eight doubles, a triple, and seven home runs this year, leading to 29 RBIs. That leads the team.
Further, Nimmo has scored 26 times this year. Meanwhile, Pete Alonso leads the team in home runs this year. He comes in hitting just .229 with a .305 on-base percentage. Alonso had ten doubles and ten home runs, leading to 23 RBIs. He has scored 27 times this year.
Leading the team in runs scored this year in Francisco Lindor. Like many Mets, he is not hitting well. He is hitting .197 on the year with a .273 on-base percentage. Lindo has eight doubles and seven home runs, leading to his 22 RBIOs.Further, he has stolen six bases and scored 28 runs this year. Also stealing bases well is Staling Marte. He is hitting .265 with a .315 on-base percentage. He has stolen eight bases and scored 23 times this year. Marte also has four home runs and 16 RBIs.
Mets pitching is 14th in team ERA while sitting 23rd in WHIP and tenth in opponent batting average. Adrian Houser will be on the mound for the Mets in this one. He is 0-3 with a 7.44 ERA and a 1.84 WHIP. He has pitched just two innings in each of his last two appearances, both in relief. In his last two starts, he has given up ten runs in just 9.1 innings of work.
Why The Guardians Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Guardians are fifth in the majors in runs scored this year while sitting 17th in batting average, 14th in on-base percentage, and 12th in slugging. Jose Ramirez has been great this year. He is hitting .253 on the year with a .302 on-base percentage. He has hit seven doubles, a triple, and 11 home runs. This has led to 41 RBIs on the year. Further, Ramirez has stolen seven bases and 29 runs scored. Josh Naylor has also been solid this year. He is hitting .252 on the year with a .342 on-base percentage. He had eight doubles and 12 home runs, leading to 34 RBIs. Further, he has scored 25 times this year.
Hitting wonderful this year is Andres Gimenez. He is hitting .277 on the year with a .337 on-base percentage. He has eight doubles, a triple, and three home runs, leading to 27 RBIs. Further, he has stolen seven bases and 26 runs scored. Rounding out the top bats is Tyler Freeman. Freeman is hitting just .222, but he is getting on base at a .325 create. He has seven doubles and four home runs, leading to 16 RBIs. Freeman also has stolen six bases and scored 25 times.
The Guardians are sixth in team ERA, eighth in WHIP, and eighth in opponent batting average. Carlos Carrasco will be on the mound this one. He is 2-4 on the year with a 5.16 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP. Last time out, he gave up two runs in five innings of work in a loss to the Rangers. Current members of the Mets have hit .292 in 48 career at-bats against Carrasco with two home runs and 11 RBIs.
Final Mets-Guardians Prediction & Pick
The Guardians have been pitching we this year, but Carlos Carrasco has not been pitching great. He is giving up a lot of runs. Further, Adrian Houser has been awful as a starter. The Guardians have one of the best offensive units this year, while the Mets can put up turns as well. Most likely, the Guardians will get the win, but the best play on this one is on the total. Take the over.
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Final Mets-Guardians Prediction & Pick: Over 9 (-122)
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