The Atlanta Braves and New York Mets will continue their unusual five-game series on Wednesday evening. It’s time to continue our MLB odds series and make a Braves-Mets prediction and pick.
The Braves secured a huge 12-5 victory on Tuesday night after a slow start to this series. Atlanta will now look to clinch the series after splitting Monday's doubleheader as well. New York has been one of the best teams at home this season and will be motivated to bounce back against a division rival.
Here’s how sportsbooks have set the opening Braves-Mets odds.
MLB Odds: Braves-Mets Odds
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Atlanta Braves +1.5 (-180)
New York Mets -1.5 (+160)
Over 8 Runs (-105)
Under 8 Runs (-115)
Why The Braves Could Cover The Spread
The Atlanta Braves are lucky that they are in a weak division as they're four games back of the Mets in the NL East and eight games back of the second wild card spot. Atlanta is currently one game under .500 at 50-51 on the season. They're missing two key outfielders, which has a lot to do with their struggling bats over the past few weeks. The Braves have fared well against their division rivals as they've defeated the Mets in four of their last five head-to-head meetings coming in.
Atlanta will turn to left-hander Max Fried as they look to clinch the series. Fried has been serviceable with a 7-6 record and 4.46 ERA through 16 starts. He has had an up-and-down season for the most part and will need to be better for his team down the stretch. The southpaw had a career year in 2020 and has shown flashes of that dominance at times this season. This will be a good place to start as the Mets have been one of the worst offensive teams in all of baseball.
Why The Mets Could Cover The Spread
The New York Mets are currently leading the National League East division by 3.5 games over the Philadelphia Phillies. The Mets have been a tale of two stories this season as they feature an elite pitching staff and a horrible lineup. New York allows the fewest runs per game in the league at Citi Field, which is why they are an impressive 31-17 at home. The Mets score the fewest runs per game at home as well, which makes their +0.90 average run differential at home that much more impressive.
The Mets will hand the ball to right-hander Tylor Megill as they look to even the series. Megill has been dominant for New York with a 1-0 record and 2.10 ERA through six outings. He has a 1.10 WHIP and 33 strikeouts through his first 30 innings of work this season. The rookie has continued to excel with two-straight six inning shutouts against the Pirates and Blue Jays coming in. He hopes to continue impressing the Mets enough to cement himself as an everyday starter going forward.
Final Braves-Mets Prediction & Pick
I love the Mets chances of bouncing back with a big win on Wednesday evening. New York has been so impressive at home, which makes it hard to believe that they'll drop another one against their underwhelming division rivals. Tylor Megill is on an impressive run over his last two starts and won't face much of a challenge in this start. Atlanta is destined to regress in this game and their performance in the previous contest is giving us a better price.
FINAL PICK: New York Mets -1.5 (+160)
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