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MLB Odds: Marlins vs. Mets prediction, odds and pick – 6/17/2022

Marlins Mets prediction

The Miami Marlins and the New York Mets are ready for battle on Friday as the two NL East squads will meet on the diamond at Citi Field. It is time to take a glimpse into our MLB odds series, where our Marlins-Mets prediction and pick will revealed for all to see.

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At fourth place in the NL East and sitting with a record of 28-33 through 61 games, the Marlins will attempt to have a short memory after a disappointing series against the Phillies. In surprising a rare fashion, Miami has yet to select a starting pitcher for the opening game of this series, so be on the lookout as the first pitch draws closer in a few hours.

The Mets have done it again! After securing another series win this time at the disposal of the Milwaukee Brewers, New York still holds a 4.5-game lead in the division even after Atlanta’s season-defying 14-game winning streak. New York knows exactly who they will call upon to get this series started off in the right direction, as righty Carlos Carrasco will take the mound with his dazzling 7-2 record and 3.93 ERA.

Courtesy of FanDuel, here are the Marlins-Mets MLB odds.

MLB Odds: Marlins-Mets Odds

Miami Marlins: +1.5 (-126)

New York Mets: -1.5 (+105)

Over: 8.5 (-104)

Under: 8.5 (-118)

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Why The Marlins Could Cover the Spread

It is slightly odd when a team has yet to announce who their starter is going to be just hours before first pitch, but that is where the Marlins currently stand at the moment. While there are some that believe it will most likely be right-hander Pablo Lopez taking the ball for the opening pitch on Friday, it remains a mystery on who Miami will call upon to get the job done tonight.

Nevertheless, this interesting situation brings up a unique dynamic that may end up benefitting the Marlins when tonight’s contest is all but concluded. With no apparent starter for the Mets to take notes on and study prior to the game, New York will no doubt be less prepared when the last-second announcement comes in what should be in the next few hours.

Another factor that should come into play will be the better-than-advertised Miami offensive attack. Yes, the Marlins may sit five games under the .500, but this is a sneaky good hitting group that can make opposing pitching pay when given the right opportunity. The Marlins are the 15th best team when it comes to their batting average, as they are slashing a not too shabby .243 on the season. If Miami takes care of business on Friday, it may be because of the up-and-coming star in second-baseman Jazz Chisholm. Chisholm has hit 13 long balls on the year and also leads the club with 41 RBIs.

Why The Mets Could Cover the Spread

Off to one of their best starts in recent memory, the Mets seemingly prove to the league and more importantly themselves that they are contenders as each day passes. Not to mention, but this year’s version of the New York Mets don’t get too down on themselves and are capable of launching epic comebacks as they did against the Brewers to ultimately win the series on Thursday. Overcoming a three-run deficit, the Mets stormed back and left Milwaukee flabbergasted. While life would be much easier for the Mets if they got off to a quicker start on Friday versus the Marlins, the rest of the league should never count New York out and feel comfortable with a lead.

This type of resilience and patience has translated into numerous facets of their game. Whether it’s taking that extra pitch at the plate to draw a walk, or even throwing a couple of pitches out of the zone to try and get a hitter to chase something out of the zone with two strikes, the Mets are a collectively tight-knit unit. Even more impressively, the Mets have been hit with their fair share of injuries, but have still dug deep and counted on unexpected names in within the clubhouse to find ways to come out on top.

It also helps to have an offense that has scored the most runs than anyone in baseball. At this point, the Mets are lighting up the scoreboard at such a hectic pace that some New York residents will have to pay a little extra in regards to their electricity bills during the month of June. With a league-leading .263 batting average and .335 on-base percentage as well, it is obvious that the most efficient way to cover the spread against the Marlins will come at the plate.

Final Marlins-Mets Prediction & Pick

In one of the more intriguing matchups of the day, expect the shorthanded Marlins and Mets to throw a wrinkle or two to try to come out victorious in this divisional showdown. At the end of the day, Carrasco’s 2-0 record and 2.08 ERA against Miami all-time and the hot bats of the Mets will prove to be too much to overcome for the fish.

Final Marlins-Mets Pick: Mets -1.5 (+105)