The New York Mets and Atlanta Braves will close out a three-game set in Atlanta on Wednesday night. It’s time to continue our MLB odds series and make a Mets-Braves prediction and pick.
New York will be going for the sweep after winning the first two games of this series by a combined three runs. This series has featured little offense and phenomenal pitching this far. Will Atlanta find a way to salvage the series and avoid the sweep against a division rival?
Here’s how sportsbooks have set the Mets-Braves odds.
MLB Odds: Mets-Braves Odds
New York Mets +1.5 (-155)
Atlanta Braves -1.5 (+135)
Over 8 Runs (-115)
Under 8 Runs (-105)
Why The Mets Could Cover The Spread
The Mets have been playing very well of late, winning five of their last eight games coming into the series finale. The Mets will now be looking to increase their lead in the NL East with a win and series sweep. The recent success has been all thanks to the pitching staff as the offense has really struggled.
New York averages 3.49 runs per game, which makes them one of the worst offensive clubs in baseball. The Mets are batting .232 with a .320 on-base percentage collectively as well. This ranks 17th and eighth in Major League Baseball, respectively. New York's pitching has bailed them out with the third-best team ERA in baseball at 3.23.
The Mets will send left-hander David Peterson out to the bump to start the series finale. Peterson is currently 1-3 with a 4.86 ERA on the young season. Following his first start of the season that didn't turn out well for Peterson, the southpaw has actually settled in rather nicely. In his past six starts, he didn't allow more than three runs in any of them and went at least five innings in four of them.
Why The Braves Could Cover The Spread
The Braves are really struggling right now. They have lost six of their last eight games and the first two of this series. They are now four games back of the Mets in the division and will look to pick up a game and salvage the series in the finale.
Unlike New York, it's actually the Braves' offense that has kept them on the surface. Atlanta is averaging 4.59 runs per game despite a low team batting average and on-base percentage. The Braves live and die on the long ball as they're seventh in baseball with a .413 slugging percentage. Ronald Acuna Jr. is arguably having the best season of his career and will look to continue his success as his club digs its way out of a rut.
Atlanta will need a big start from right-hander Charlie Morton. Morton is currently 2-2 with a 5.08 ERA on the young season. He has struggled lately and was unable to reach the fifth inning of his last start against the Toronto Blue Jays. Luckily for the Braves, the tall right-hander has actually had success against this Mets club. In his last three starts against New York, Morton pitched at least five innings and allowed no more than two earned runs in each.
Final Mets-Braves Prediction & Pick
The Mets are in full control of this series. They were the better team in the first two games and are in much better shape coming into the finale. The Mets have won seven of their last 10 games and seem to be overpowering this struggling Braves lineup. David Peterson is no Jacob deGrom, but he's certainly serviceable and has been pitching much better of late. With the way that Charlie Morton has struggled lately, look for the Mets to generate enough offense to secure the victory and the series sweep.
FINAL PICK: New York Mets ML (+135)
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