The Boston Red Sox and Seattle Mariners play the second game of a three-game series on Tuesday evening. It’s time to continue our MLB odds series and make a Red Sox-Mariners prediction and pick.
This game will likely have huge implications on the AL Wild Card race. Currently, both teams just barely sit outside of the playoff picture. The Red Sox are in a virtual tie for the second AL Wild Card spot, although the Yankees have a .01 better winning percentage right now. The Mariners sit two games behind the Red Sox after winning the series opener yesterday. This Wild Card race could easily come down to the final weekend of the season. But for now, these Red Sox-Mariners games are so important for both ball clubs.
Here’s how the bookmakers have set the lines for Tuesday’s game.
MLB Odds: Red Sox-Mariners Odds
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Boston Red Sox (-134)
Seattle Mariners (+124)
Over 8 runs (-115)
Under 8 runs (-105)
Why The Red Sox Could Win
Since August 11, Nathan Eovaldi has been one of the best pitchers in baseball. In six starts, he has posted a 1.91 ERA with 47 strikeouts in 37 2/3 innings. In these starts, the Red Sox have gone a very impressive 5-1. His last start was against the high-powered Rays offense. Eovaldi pitched seven shutout innings, allowing just three hits and two walks while striking out eight batters. He has also struck out at least six batters in each start since August 11. In his last road start, Eovaldi allowed two runs in 5 1/3 innings. If Eovaldi can continue to pitch the way he has over the past month, it should be relatively easy to earn the win against a Mariners team that ranks near the bottom of the league in runs scored.
Why The Mariners Could Win
Since joining the Mariners after being traded from Pittsburgh, Tyler Anderson has been a very effective pitcher. In all but one of his eight total starts in a Mariner uniform, Anderson has allowed three or fewer earned runs. This span includes three quality starts, with his maximum innings pitched in a game being seven. In that seven-inning start, Anderson allowed just three runs. Despite earning the loss, Anderson pitched well against the Royals, the problem being that the Mariners offense could not provide enough run support. But yesterday, the Mariners scored five runs against the Sox pitching, including a clutch home run in the seventh inning that proved to be the game-winner. I think Anderson can throw another quality start against a Red Sox lineup playing on the opposite coast, and I believe the Mariners offense will continue to build off of yesterday’s strong performance as well.
Final Red Sox-Mariners Prediction & Pick
In another game that is not decided until the last few innings, this pitcher’s duel remains scoreless headed into the seventh inning. But at that point, Mariners bullpen locks it down, while the M’s offense gets a few clutch base hits off a struggling Sox bullpen. The Mariners win the game 2-0. Taking the plus money here is a great bet, but I think these teams are much more even in this matchup than the betting line indicates.
FINAL PICK: SEATTLE MARINERS +124
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