MLB odds: Rockies vs. Dodgers prediction, odds, pick, and more – 7/23/2021
The Colorado Rockies travel to the City of Angels to begin a three-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers. It’s time to continue our MLB odds series and make a Rockies-Dodgers prediction and pick for this NL West clash.
Colorado currently stands at 42-54 and is only 9-34 on the road. If you put $100 on every single Rockies game so far this season, you’d be down $517 on the money line.
Los Angeles currently stands at 59-39 and is 31-17 in Dodger Stadium. If you put $100 on every single Dodgers game so far this season, you’d be down $591 on the money line.
Here’s how sportsbooks have set the Rockies-Dodgers odds.
MLB Odds: Rockies-Dodgers Odds
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Colorado Rockies ML (+240)
Los Angeles Dodgers ML (-270)
Over 9 Runs (-119)
Under 9 Runs (-101)
Why The Dodgers Could Win This Game
After two heartbreaking losses to the Giants, Los Angeles badly needs to find a way back to the winning column to keep pace with their NL West rival.
Thankfully for Dodgers bettors, they were handed a juicy matchup tonight against Rockies right-hander Chi-Chi Gonzalez.
Gonzalez has looked like he’s been throwing BP for the majority of this season. He holds a 5.99 ERA and has given up 12 earned runs 16 innings pitched in July.
If you could design a pitcher this Dodgers lineup would love to face, it’s Chi-Chi. First off, he’s a righty, which immediately raises the Dodgers team batting average 15 points and OBP 30 points.
Secondly, Gonzalez lacks swing and miss stuff and his K/BB rate is 57/23. The Dodgers strike out a lot (tenth most in the league) but draw a lot of walks (first in the league). When they face a pitcher that can’t put guys away, they just wait him out and do damage on a pitch to their liking. This happened last time Gonzalez faced the Dodgers, as he gave up seven earned in only four innings.
The Dodgers should do enough damage tonight to give David Price the chance to earn a win. Price has yet to take a loss and is 4-0 with a 3.12 ERA.
The lefty has been lights out of late, giving up only one run in nine innings pitched in July. Price has been versatile, making spot starts for the Dodgers while also frequently eating up innings in the ‘pen.
The emphasis won’t be as much on Price as it is on the Dodgers bats tonight. The former Cy Young winner should pitch no more than three or four innings, and realistically, the Dodgers should have a multi-run lead by then.
Why The Rockies Could Win This Game
The Rockies’ path to victory lies mostly in the batter’s box.
The Los Angeles bullpen is very vulnerable right now. Kenley Jansen has blown back-to-back saves and has given up seven earned runs in 1.2 innings. Over the four games with Giants, 16.1 innings have been pitched by members of the Dodgers bullpen.
When you have a depleted ‘pen and a closer who has been shelled in his past two outings, the last thing you want is a starting pitcher who can’t go five innings. Unfortunately for the Dodgers, that’s the starter that David Price is at this point in his career.
Price has started five games this season. The furthest he’s gone is 4.0 innings, and the most pitches he’s thrown in a single outing is 66. That means there’s a near guarantee the Rockies get a crack at the Los Angeles weak spot, and who knows what L.A. will do if Colorado keeps it close and they need a closer to bring it home.
Additionally, the Rockies are familiar with Price this season. They’ve seen him four times already and tagged him for three runs in seven innings pitched. C.J. Cron has been especially effective against Price, hitting .364 in 22 at-bats against the veteran lefty. It’d be surprising if the Rockies can’t scratch out at least one or two runs against Price before Dave Roberts goes to the ‘pen.
On the mound, the Rockies need Gonzalez to be effective for at the very least three innings, and this isn’t an impossible task. Gonzalez pitched three hitless innings against the Dodgers in his second outing of the season, probably his second or third best outing of the year.
The best-case scenario is that the Rockies keep this competitive until around the sixth or seventh inning. After that, all bets are off on who wins this one with a Dodgers bullpen that is shaken.
Final Rockies-Dodgers Prediction & Pick
Despite the Dodgers’ struggles of late, there’s absolutely no way to count on either Chi-Chi Gonzalez or a team that is currently 9-34 away from Coors Field. This could easily be a Dodgers blowout, but the Dodgers bullpen has been destroyed lately and that is a concern. They are going to be expected to go four or five innings and could get touched up.
At the end of the day, the Dodgers’ ability to do damage to Gonzalez screamed confidence. Even if the Rockies righty somehow navigates the lineup successfully, the Dodgers get a crack at a bullpen with a 5.38 ERA. My money’s on the Dodgers team total over on Friday, and it could cash in the first five innings.
FINAL ROCKIES-DODGERS PREDICTION: DODGERS TEAM TOTAL OVER 5.5 RUNS (+100)