The Kansas City Royals will take on the Los Angeles Angels on Tuesday night. It's time to continue our MLB odds series and make a Royals-Angels pick.
Neither of these teams have had particularly successful seasons. Unsurprisingly, the Royals have been one of the worst teams in all of baseball this year. They're currently 24-42 on the year, a record that has them all but eliminated from the postseason. The Angels have been slightly better, earning themselves a 33-37 mark. That record has them ten games back of first place in the AL West. The playoffs are still a realistic goal for Los Angeles, but they need to start turning things around as soon as possible. This game against one of the worst teams in baseball is a prime opportunity to begin to do so.
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Courtesy of FanDuel, here are the Royals-Angels MLB odds.
MLB Odds: Royals vs. Angels Odds
Kansas City Royals: +1.5 (-146)
Los Angeles Angels: -1.5 (+118)
Over: 9.5 (-102)
Under: 9.5 (-120)
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Why The Royals Could Cover the Spread
The Royals will put Jonathan Heasley on the mound in this game. Heasley has been one of Kansas City's better starters, earning a 3.72 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP on the season. It's unlikely that Heasley gets out to the mound and wows everyone, but he is typically a good bet to put up five innings of work with only a couple fo runs allowed. It also helps that the Angels have been on a massive offensive cold streak. Los Angeles hasn't scored more than five runs in a game since June 10th. They've also scored two or less runs in four of their last eight contests. This is a good spot to count on Heasley to put together a decent outing.
While the Angels have been solid against the spread overall this season, they've been terrible in situations similar to this one. Los Angeles has only covered in eleven of 27 contests when they enter the game as a home favorite. That's exactly how they'll come into this game, so if history is any indicator, the Royals should have a good chance at covering.
Why The Angels Could Cover the Spread
The Angels will have one of their better arms on the mound in this game. Reid Detmers didn't have the best start to the season, but he's continually improved, earning himself a 4.25 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP on the season. Detmers also has the advantage of being left-handed. Kansas City has been significantly worse whenever they face a left-handed pitcher this year, earning lower batting stats across the board. The Royals are already one of the worst offensive teams in baseball, so the fact that they're facing a lefty should hurt them even more.
Home field advantage will also play a big part in this contest. The Royals have also been a much worse offensive team when they play on the road, earning a worse batting average, slugging percentage, OBP, and OPS when they play away from home. Heasley numbers are significantly worse when he pitches away from home, as he allows a higher batting average, ERA and WHIP on the road. Overall, the Angels will benefit from playing in front of their home fans here.
Final Royals-Angels Pick & Prediction
Neither side of the spread looks great here. Instead, the under is the best pick on the board.
Final Royals-Angels Pick & Prediction: Under: 9.5 (-120)
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