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NFL odds: Bills vs. Dolphins Week 2 prediction, odds, pick, and more

Bills, Dolphins

AFC East rivals on opposite ends of the East Coast square off in Week 2. The Bills travel to South Florida to take on the Dolphins. It’s time to continue our NFL odds series and make a Bills-Dolphins prediction and pick.

While the Bills lost in Week 1 and the Dolphins won, it should be clear that the Bills are still the better team. Led by Josh Allen and one of the league’s best defenses, Buffalo is one of the top Super Bowl contenders this season. The Dolphins should be competitive for a Wild Card spot, but in 2021, the AFC East will be Buffalo’s to lose.

Here’s how the bookmakers have set the lines for Sunday’s matchup.

NFL Odds: Bills-Dolphins Odds

Buffalo Bills (-175)

Miami Dolphins (+155)

Over 47 1/2 points (-113)

Under 47 1/2 points (-107)

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Why The Bills Could Win

In a Week 1 loss to the Steelers, Josh Allen put up one of the worst games he’ll likely have all season. While this is not good news on the surface, it is good that he’s bound to only improve from here on out. In 2020, Allen threw for over 4,500 yards with 37 passing touchdowns and 12 rushing touchdowns. As good as those numbers are, would it be crazy to say that Allen could even improve on those numbers this year? He has a legitimate shot to win NFL MVP this season. Facing a Dolphins defense that just barely won over rookie quarterback Mac Jones, expect Allen to expose this ‘Phins defense and score much more than the 16 points Miami allowed last week. If Allen can throw for over 350 yards and at least three touchdowns (both marks which I’d expect him to reach), the Bills offense will tire out Miami’s defensive unit and make anything Tua does on offense a moot point.

Why The Dolphins Could Win

Tua Tagovailoa had just an okay performance last week and his team still managed to come out on top. This is a testament to Miami’s supreme defense, which recovered two New England fumbles and almost doubled the Patriots’ in total tackles. Although they are facing a much tougher offense now, Miami is back on their home turf and has the momentum advantage heading into Week 2. Plus, Tagovailoa should play better back in SEC territory, a region he was one of college football’s best quarterbacks while at Alabama. Even while adjusting for a slightly regressed defense against the Bills, the Dolphins should still be able to get several quarterback hits on Josh Allen, who looked unlike his usual self last week. Just like both teams’ games last week, I’d expect this game to be a low-scoring contest, IF the Dolphins defense can show up as it did versus the Patriots. If Tua can throw for more yards, keep the offense on the field longer, and Miami’s defense keeps up its exceptional Week 1 play, the Dolphins can emerge with the upset here.

Final Bills-Dolphins Prediction & Pick

Despite my confidence in Miami’s defense, I just think that Josh Allen is too good of a quarterback to have back-to-back subpar weeks. Allen goes off against the Dolphins, throwing for over 400 yards, with at least three passing touchdowns. After a quick score on their opening drive, the Bills regain all the momentum and end up with an easy victory of over 13 points.