Ranger Suarez takes to the mound for the Philadelphia Phillies as they host the San Diego Padres. It's time to continue our MLB odds series with a Padres-Phillies prediction and pick.

Padres-Phillies Projected Starters 

Matt Waldron vs. Ranger Suarez

Matt Waldron (4-6) with a 3.66 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP

Last Start: Waldron was solid last time out. He went seven innings, giving up just three hits and two walks. Still, he gave up two runs, and he would take the loss as the Padres lost 2-1.

2024 Road Splits: Waldron has been solid on the road this year. He has made eight starts, going 2-2 with a 3.14 ERA and a .213 opponent batting average.

Ranger Suarez (10-1) with a 1.77 ERA and a 0.88 WHIP.

Last Start: Suarez was stellar against last time out. He went 6.2 innings, giving up six hits and two walks, but just one run against the Orioles. Still, he did not factor into the decision as the Phillies would win 5-3 in 11 innings.

2024 Home Splits: Nole has been solid at home this year. He is 4-2 in eight starts with a 3.44 ERA and an opponent batting average of .210. Still, home runs have been an issue at home, as Nolas has given up eight home runs this year.

Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel. 

MLB Odds: Padres-Phillies Odds

San Diego Padres: +1.5 (-164)

Moneyline: +124

Philadelphia Phillies: -1.5 (+136)

Moneyline: -146

Over: 8.5 (-115)

Under: 8.5 (-105)

How to Watch Padres vs. Phillies

Time: 6:40 PM ET/ 3:40 PM PT


Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)

Why The Padres Will Cover The Spread/Win

The Padres sit tenth in the majors in runs scored this year, while sitting first in batting average, fifth in on-base percentage, and 12th in slugging. Jurickson Proctor continues to be great this year. He is hitting .321 with a .421 on-base percentage, both the best on the team. He has ten home runs this year, with a team-leading 46 RBIs. Profar has also scored 42 times this year. Meanwhile, Jake Cronenworth also continues to produce. He is hitting .255 on the year with a .322 on-base percentage. He has 16 doubles, two triples, and 10 home runs, leading to 46 RBIs and 30 runs scored. Leading the team in runs scored this year, is Fernando Tatis Jr. Tatis is hitting .273 this year, with 13 home runs to lead the team. He has 35 RBIs and scored 48 times on the year.

In the last week, it has been Jackson Merrill who is swinging the hot bat. He is hitting .250 in the last week with four home runs. He has five RBIs and four runs scored. While not hitting well, Donovan Solano is slugging well. He has just four hits in the last week, but two of them are home runs while another one is a double.

Current members of the Padres have 75 career at-bats against Ranger Suarez. They have hit .213 against him with four RBIs. Jurickson Profar is four for 113 with four doubles and two RBIs against Suarez. Meanwhile, Ha-Seong Kim is three for 12 with an RBI and a walk.

Why The Phillies Will Cover The Spread/Win

The Phillies are third in the majors in runs scored, while sitting fourth in batting average, third in on-base percentage, and sixth in slugging. Alec Bohm is driving in a ton of runs this year. He is hitting .307 on the year, with 26 doubles and seven home runs. Bohm has 60 RBIs and 32 runs scored. Meanwhile, Bryce Harper continues to slug well. He is hitting .282 on the year with a .390 on-base percentage. He has 15 home runs and  46 RBIs while scoring 42 times. Leading the team in runs scored is Kyle Schwarber. He is hitting .253 on the year with 16 home runs and 47 RBIs. Schwarber also leads the team with 52 runs scored this year.

In the last week, Schwarber has been on fire. He is hitting .407 in the last week with two doubles and five home runs. He has 11 RBIs and seven runs scored in the week as well. Alec Bohm is also hitting well. He is hitting .462 in the last week and has driven in nine runs. Rounding out the hot bats is Bryce Harper. Harper is hitting .321 in the last week, with just one RBI, but six runs scored.

Current members of the Phillies have just 19 career at-bats against Matt Waldron but have hit .368 against him. Kyle Schwarber has one hit and a walk in two plate appearances, with the hit being a home run. Meanwhile, Bryson Stott is three for three with two doubles against Waldron

Final Padres-Phillies Prediction & Pick

There are multiple major factors in favor of the Phillies in this one. They have a much better pitcher going in Ranger Suarez. The Phillies also have the better offense. Then, rounding it out, the Phillies have the hotter bats in the lineup. This all lines up to a Phillies win.

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Final Padres-Phillies Prediction & Pick: Phillies -1.5 (+136)