Gavin Williams takes to the mound for the Cleveland Guardians as they host the Detroit Tigers. It's time to continue our MLB odds series with a Tigers-Guardians prediction and pick.
Tigers-Guardians Projected Starters
Undecided vs. Gavin Williams
Gavin Williams (0-2) with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP
Last Start: Williams went just 3.2 innings in his last start, giving up six hits and two walks. He would surrender three runs in a losing effort against the Padres.
2024 Home Splits: In two starts at home, Williams is 0-2 with a 9.39 ERA and a .361 opponent batting average.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Tigers-Guardians Odds
Detroit Tigers: +1.5 (-154)
Moneyline: +150
Cleveland Guardians: -1.5 (+128)
Moneyline: -178
Over: 8 (-105)
Under: 8 (-115)
How to Watch Tigers vs. Guardians
Time: 1:10 PM ET/ 10:10 AM PT
TV: BSDET/BSGL
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Tigers Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Tigers are 15th in the majors in runs scored, while sitting 23rd in batting average, 27th in on-base percentage, and 18th in slugging. Riley Greene has led the way this year. He is hitting. 268 on the year with 17 home runs and 51 RBIs. He has also gotten on base at a .360 rate and scored 57 times this year. Matt Vierling is also having a solid year. He is hitting .254 on the year with a .292 on-base percentage. He has 12 home runs and 41 RBIs this year while scoring 47 times. Colt Keith rounds out the best bats so far this year. He is hitting .251 on the season with a .308 on-base percentage. Keith has ten home runs and 38 RBIs while scoring 38 times on the year.
Since the All-Star break, Justyn-Henry Malloy has been driving in runs. Malloy has hit just .214 but is getting on base at a .353 rate. He has two home runs and six RBIs while scoring twice. Jake Rogers is also driving in runs. He is hitting .273 since the break with a home run and six RBIs. He also has scored twice. Wenceel Perez has been scoring the runs since the break. He is hitting just .278, but getting on base at a .250 rate. He has two home runs, and five RBIs, plus has scored seven times. As a team, the Tigers have hit .237 over the last five games. They have seven home runs and have scored 28 runs in those five games.
Current members of the Tigers have 26 career at-bats against Gavin Williams. They have hit just .192 against him, without an RBI. Javier Baez has the only extra-base hit. He is one for two with a double. Meanwhile, Riley Greene, Zack McKinistry, and Jake Rogers are all 0-4 against Williams. Although Greenes has walked once.
Why The Guardians Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Guardians are 12th in the majors in runs scored while sitting 15th in batting average, 11th in on-base percentage, and 13th in slugging. Jose Ramirez leads the way. He is hitting .274 this year with a .325 on-base percentage. He has 24 home runs, 82 RBIs, and has scored 72 times. Further, Ramirez has stolen 18 bases this year. Josh Naylor is also driving in plenty of runs. He is hitting .236 on the year with 22 home runs and 71 RBIs. He is getting on base at a .317 rate and has scored 55 times. Steven Kwan is also having a solid year. He is hitting .347 this year, a .401 on-base percentage. He has ten home runs and 28 RBIs. Kwan has also scored 57 times this season.
Since the All-Star break, Jose Ramirez has been hitting well. He is hitting .333 since the break with a home run, five RBIs, and two runs scored. David Fry has also been solid since the break. He is hitting .400 with a .471 on-base percentage. He has an RBI and three runs scored. Since the break, the bats have been hit-and-miss. The Guardians are hitting .234 as a team, and have three home runs. Still, they have scored just 15 runs in five games since the All-Star break.
Final Tigers-Guardians Prediction & Pick
The Guardian's offense finally showed up in the first game of the series, hitting three home runs, their first three since the All-Star break. If the Guardians can get a lead, they should be able to hold on to it. They have one of the best bullpens in the majors and the best closer so far this year. Still, there is concern due to the starting pitcher they are sending out. Gavin Williams has struggled heavily at home this year. It will take a lot of effort for the Guardians to build the lead, which will lead to runs. That makes the best play on this game the over.
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Final Tigers-Guardians Prediction & Pick: Over 8 (-105)
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