UFC Vegas 36 kicks off at 4 pm eastern on ESPN+ and features a Heavyweight matchup between Tom Aspinall and Sergey Spivak. The co-main event should be entertaining, as both fighters are prospects climbing the Heavyweight rankings. It's time to continue our UFC odds series with a Tom Aspinall-Sergy Spivak prediction and pick.
Tom Aspinall is currently on a six-fight win streak heading into Saturday night's matchup. He's been incredibly efficient since making his UFC debut in 2020 and hopes to continue his winning streak.
Sergey Spivak is on a three-fight win streak right now as he's looked sharp in recent bouts. He's had a nice turnaround since his UFC debut in 2019, which bodes well for his future success.
Here's how the sportsbooks have set the odds for this Heavyweight matchup.
UFC Vegas 36 odds: Tom Aspinall-Sergey Spivak odds
Tom Aspinall (-220)
Sergey Spivak (+185)
Over 1.5 rounds (-126)
Under 1.5 rounds (-104)
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How Tom Aspinall wins the fight
Aspinall enters this matchup on a hot streak. Every fight in his career so far have been finishes. With seven KO/TKO's and three submission victories, it's safe to say Tom Aspinall is a dangerous fighter inside of the octagon. He's one of the most exciting prospects in the Heavyweight division and he'll look to continue his impressive win streak on Saturday night.
This is a solid matchup for Aspinall. His opponent is well-rounded, so he will likely keep his distance to get a feel for his opponent at first. Once he gets into a nice rhythm, we should see Aspinall show off his striking skills. Look for him to keep this one on the feet, as that is where Aspinall has the advantage.
How Sergey Spivak wins the fight
After watching Sergey Spivak, you'll quickly realize that “Polar Bear” is a fitting nickname for this Heavyweight prospect. He has a history of mauling his opponents with a strong clinch game and can control the fight on the mat. He's like a bigger version of Khabib Nurmagomedov, which is a scary thought in itself. Spivak's striking skills shouldn't go unnoticed either, as he's earned five KO/TKO's on top of his six submission victories.
His opponent might start patiently, but look for Sergey Spivak to do the exact opposite. The “Polar Bear” will likely come forward and attempt to control the cage from the start. From there, we should see Spivak get in the clinch and attempt some takedowns. His goal will be to overwhelm his opponent with a dominant ground game.
Tom Aspinall-Sergey Spivak prediction & pick
This is a striker versus mauler matchup that should be exciting throughout. Whoever can stick to their game plan effectively should come out victorious. This fight can end at any moment though, as both Aspinall and Spivak have the power to finish any opponent. Aspinall is rather quick for a Heavyweight, which should allow him to evade takedown attempts from Spivak. If he can do that, Aspinall should be able to win his seventh consecutive fight.
FINAL TOM ASPINALL-SERGEY SPIVAK PICK: Tom Aspinall wins via KO/TKO in Round 1
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