As the page gets set to turn from June into July, more and more attention starts getting paid towards World Series odds in MLB. The MLB Trade Deadline is rapidly approaching and everyone starts to get a sense of who will be a buyer and who will be a seller.
A lot of the expected teams are right in the mix this year including: the Dodgers, Astros, Yankees, Rays and Padres. Many were high on all five teams entering the season and so far, they have at least somewhat lived up to the hype.
Teams like the San Francisco Giants and Boston Red Sox have burst onto the scene after minimal preseason expectations, at least externally. With a lot of shuffling sure to happen between the end of June and the conclusion of the MLB Trade Deadline, the odds will continue to shift as it pertains to a World Series favorite.
Currently, the Dodgers have the best odds, according to betonline.ag, sitting at (+350) to win the World Series. Right behind them, the Astros (+700), and the Padres (+700).
While there is some value to be had with the Padres or Astros or even a team like the White Sox (+800), there are a couple of sleepers with some real deep value. One of them, the Milwaukee Brewers (+2200).
The Brewers aren’t an aesthetically pleasing team to watch. The offense sputters and outside of Christian Yelich, there isn’t a lot of star power on this team.
What the Brewers do have though that make them a wonderfully sneaky World Series pick is a lot of great pitching.
Brandon Woodruff and Corbin Burnes are an incredible one-two punch at the top of the rotation. Woodruff is a legitimate all-star and has ace type stuff. Burnes is well on his way and has emerged as a top end arm as well for Milwaukee this year.
Freddy Peralta has been spectacular, pitching to the tune of a 2.11 ERA in 14 starts while posting a 2.80 FIP. His K/9 is brilliant, as he averages 12.7 strikeouts per 9 innings pitched.
And in the backend of the bullpen, sits Josh Hader. Hader has been great again and a constant door-shutter for the Brewers.
With World Series odds at (+2200), there is some great value in taking a flyer on the Brewers. Consider the rest of the NL scene when doing so.
The Mets lead the NL East but are dealing with a ton of injuries, and have so most of the season. Every single other team in the division is under .500.
In the NL West, the Giants have surprised everyone, and they are four games clear currently of the Dodgers in the division, and 4.5 games clear of the Padres.
In the NL Central, it’s currently a two-team race with the Brewers leading the Cubs by a half game for the division lead.
Point is, the National League as a whole might end up being wide open. The Dodgers are heavy favorites in the NL and to win the World Series and rightfully so. But, there’s a chance they could land in the wild card, play-in game. That’s a nightmare scenario for anyone who’s trying to chase down a division crown.
The Brewers are in a perfect spot right now. They lead their division but they aren’t talked about near to the extent that teams in the NL like the Dodgers, Mets and Padres are. They have tremendous pitching and if they can add a little offense at the trade deadline, it could help push Milwaukee over the top.
This isn’t to suggest that the Brewers are going to glide towards a World Series crown. There is just some great value at (+2200) for a team that figures to be right in the playoff race come the end of September.
Everyone knows how crucial and critical pitching becomes as the stakes raise in October. There are flashier pitchers that would entice some to lay World Series betting money elsewhere and that’s fine. However, a three-headed monster consisting of Woodruff-Burnes-Peralta is pretty good especially with how they are flying under the radar. Pepper in Hader holding down the fort in the 9th inning, the Brewers have a lot of the ingredients that past teams have used to make a run in October.
A lot of what the Brewers could end up being could come down to how aggressive they pursue some bats at the MLB Trade Deadline. If they add some offense, their World Series Odds will likely bump up from (+2200). If they stay where they are at now, they will go as far as their pitching can take them. For now, it’s worth it to sprinkle a little money on Milwaukee.