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The Chicago Cubs and Milwaukee Brewers face off in a crucial four-game series, as the Cubs are just 3.5 games back of the Brewers for first in the National League Central. The Cubs can take control of the NL Central with a four-game sweep, but if these teams' recent history against each other tells us anything, it'll be a close series. The teams have won five games each over the last ten matchups. The Cubs are lucky to be 3.5 games back, as they've lost four in a row and seven of their past ten. The Brewers had been in poor form but rebounded with two wins at Fenway Park this past weekend. It is time to continue our MLB odds series with a Cubs-Brewers prediction, pick, and how-to-watch.
The Cubs decided to skip phenom Shota Imanaga's start this past weekend after a rainout on Friday night caused him to miss his scheduled game. Craig Counsell is planning a cautious approach, so despite being on nine days rest for this game, Imanaga will likely get the third game of the series on Wednesday. It's unclear who will start in this game as Kyle Hendricks is the most rested starter, but his 10.47 ERA sent him to the bullpen for his last outing.
The Brewers starting pitcher seems decided, as Freddy Peralta is in line to get the nod. Peralta had rough outings leading up to his last start but allowed one earned run over seven innings in a 1-0 loss to the Marlins. Peralta is 3-3 this season with a 3.81 ERA.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Cubs-Brewers Odds
Chicago Cubs: +1.5 (-184)
Moneyline: +120
Milwaukee Brewers: -1.5 (+152)
Moneyline: -142
Over: 7.5 (-122)
Under: 7.5 (+100)
How to Watch Cubs vs. Brewers
Time: 7:40 PM ET/4:40 PM PT
TV: Marquee Sports Network, Bally Sports Network
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Cubs Will Cover The Spread/Win
It looks like the Cubs may send Ben Brown to the mound, a pitcher who has doubled as a starter and reliever for the Cubs this season. Brown appeared in 12 games so far, starting in five. He has been good as a starter despite a limited pitch count, allowing five earned runs over 23 innings. Brown's been good all-around, owning a 3.20 ERA over 39 1/3 innings.
It seems like Brown always puts the Cubs in a position to win despite them not taking the opportunity on most occasions. The Brewers are another team that Brown could flourish against, as they are batting just .253 over their last five games and averaging 4.2 runs/nine.
Why The Brewers Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Cubs offense has been atrocious lately, contributing to their losing skid. They batted .202 with a .272 on-base percentage over their past five games, averaging just three runs/nine. Freddy Peralta's been good this season, with the Brewers winning seven of his first eight starts. The Brewers have lost the last two, but it wasn't due to Peralta's pitching, especially the past game when they lost 1-0 on a seven-inning gem by Peralta.
Final Cubs-Brewers Prediction & Pick
This should be a good pitching matchup between Ben Brown, Freddy Peralta, and both teams' bullpens. The Cubs have a 3.34 ERA from their bullpen, while the Brewers have a 2.44 ERA and a 2.12 over their last three games. Brown and Peralta won't give up much offense if their recent form continues, and neither offense should scare anyone. Take his game to be a pitching matchup that goes under.
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Final Cubs-Brewers Prediction & Pick: Under 7.5 (+100)
