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The Arizona Diamondbacks and New York Mets try to crawl back to .500 as they own losing records over their last ten games. The Diamondbacks lost their fourth game in a row in the series opener, while it was the first win in four games for the Mets. The Diamondbacks are fourth in the National League West, ten games behind the Dodgers. The Mets also sit fourth in their division but have a much steeper hill to climb, with the Phillies 15.5 games ahead of them in the National League East. It is time to continue our MLB odds series with a Diamondbacks-Mets prediction, pick, and how-to-watch.
Blake Walston will try to win this game for the Diamondbacks in his second career start. Walston began his career with a 3 2/3 inning outing in relief against the Dodgers on May 1st, allowing three hits and two earned runs. He didn't get another opportunity until May 26th against the Marlins, when he started for the first time and pitched 4 2/3 innings. Walston lasted 65 pitches, allowing four hits and no runs.
Sean Manea's been a steady force for the Mets all season, allowing three or fewer runs in nine of his ten starts. Manaea has a 3-1 record with a 3.16 ERA. Pitching hasn't been an issue for the Mets, as this ERA puts Manaea as their third-best pitcher in that category. The starters hope their highly-paid offense can soon figure it out and support them. Otherwise, it could be another long season for the New York Mets.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Diamondbacks-Mets Odds
Arizona Diamondbacks: +1.5 (-196)
Moneyline: +108
New York Mets: -1.5 (+162)
Moneyline: -126
Over: 8.5 (+100)
Under: 8.5 (-122)
How to Watch Diamondbacks vs. Mets
Time: 4:10 PM ET/1:10 PM PT
TV: SNY, ARID, MLB Network
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Diamondbacks Will Cover The Spread/Win
Walston's first big league start was promising, as he allowed zero earned runs over 4 2/3 innings. The problem for the Diamondbacks is that he can't pitch deep into ball games. It poses a problem against better offensive teams or teams with a better bullpen, but Arizona wins that matchup against the Mets. The Diamondbacks bullpen has a 3.39 ERA, but the Mets struggle in that area, owning a 7.13 ERA over their last three games. Some of their most trusted relievers have gotten shelled over their last few appearances.
Why The Mets Will Cover The Spread/Win
Sean Manaea has to be licking his chops at the prospect of facing the Diamondbacks. There has been no worse team against left-handed pitching over the last ten games than the Diamondbacks, as they own a .204 average and 1.4 runs/nine. The Mets' numbers against left-handed pitching would be a concern, but their .222 average and 4.3 runs/nine look good next to the Diamondbacks.
There is also a big difference in the veteran presence of Manaea and the rookie Walston. We don't have enough sample size to give us a good read on Walston.
Final Diamondbacks-Mets Prediction & Pick
It's hard to back the Diamondbacks against left-handed pitching when they aren't even averaging two runs/nine over their last ten. The Mets haven't been playing well either, but they always seem to show up against the Diamondbacks. The Mets have won seven of their last eight meetings with the Diamondbacks since last season.
Sean Manaea vs. Blake Walston isn't a good matchup for the Diamondbacks, as the veteran lefty will stay in the game longer and be capable of shutting down the Diamondbacks' offense.
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Final Diamondbacks-Mets Prediction & Pick: Mets ML (-126)
