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The Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Mets begin a three-game series on Monday at Citi Field, but we will be looking at the second of a three-game set. The Dodgers lost five straight games heading into this series, losing the final two games of their Diamondbacks series at home, then getting swept on the road by the Reds. The Mets haven't been doing any better, losing five games in a row before beating the Giants to end their series against the Giants. The Dodgers built a big lead in the National League East, but their recent run has gotten the Giants and Padres within 5.5 games of the lead. It is time to continue our MLB odds series with a Dodgers-Mets prediction, pick, and how-to-watch.
One of the Dodgers' most prestigious free agent signings, Tyler Glasnow, takes the mound after allowing seven earned runs over his last ten innings. The Dodgers have lost three straight starts by Glasnow. Despite his recent poor form, Glasnow still maintains some good numbers this season. Glasnow is 6-3 with a 3.09 ERA after starting the season 6-1.
Jose Quintana hasn't been able to replicate his success from last season with the Mets, as he had a 3.57 ERA over 13 starts with the Mets in 2023. Quintana has been in poor form, owning a 1-4 record and a 5.13 ERA this season. Quintana started the season with terrible control, walking 14 batters over his first five starts, but he's straightened that out with no walks in his last two starts. His numbers have reflected those improvements, as he has just five earned runs over his past 11 1/3 innings.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Dodgers-Mets Odds
Los Angeles Dodgers: -1.5 (-102)
Moneyline: -162
New York Mets: +1.5 (-118)
Moneyline: +134
Over: 8.5 (-122)
Under: 8.5 (+100)
How to Watch Dodgers vs. Mets
Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10 PM PT
TV: SNLA, SNY, TBS
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Article Continues Below
Why The Dodgers Will Cover The Spread/Win
Jose Quintana has been good at home, but this is a poor matchup against the Dodgers. The Dodgers are batting .267 with a .345 on-base percentage against left-handed pitchers. The Dodgers offense has been stagnant over this recent losing streak, and this matchup with a struggling lefty could be the boost they need.
The same goes for Tyler Glasnow's recent poor form. The Mets have below-average numbers against righties this season, batting .236 with a .311 on-base percentage. They average 4.3 runs/nine, which is pretty good considering the poor averages, but they're due for some regression.
Why The Mets Will Cover The Spread/Win
Quintana's poor season reflects some terrible results on the road. Quintana has a 6.60 ERA on the road this season, allowing 22 earned runs over 30 innings. Quintana has been much better at home, allowing just eight earned over 22 2/3 innings.
The Mets are also a much better offensive team at home, batting .262 with 5.1 runs/nine. It's an improvement over their .233 mark overall. It's the same for the Dodgers, who haven't been as efficient on the road. The Dodgers have a .331 on-base percentage with 4.5 runs/nine.
Final Dodgers-Mets Prediction & Pick
The Dodgers know they need to string together some wins to hold the rest of the National League East at bay. This game offers favorable matchups that may get them back in the win column. Take the Dodgers offense to return to form in this game and hold off some of the arising concerns about the Dodgers' expensive roster. **Note: Pitching matchups could be skewed due to a doubleheader after Monday's rainout.
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Final Dodgers-Mets Prediction & Pick: Dodgers -1.5 (-102)
