Iga Swiatek takes on Anastasia Potapova at the French Open. Our French Open odds series has our Swiatek Potapova prediction and pick. Find out how to watch Swiatek Potapova.
The 2024 French Open has a clear-cut favorite on the women's side. While the men's tournament is very uncertain, Iga Swiatek is the best female clay-court player in the world. Aryna Sabalenka is second, but Iga is first. She has won three of the last four Roland Garros singles championships. She just did win the Madrid and Rome 1,000-point tournaments, beating Sabalenka in the final of each event. She's the player to beat. The tournament is in her hands unless or until someone can pry it loose. Naomi Osaka came extremely close, earning a match point, but she couldn't win that last point against Swiatek in the second round. Swiatek was very solid in her next match against Marie Bouzkova, scoring a clean and efficient victory which should restore her belief that everything is in order and is proceeding as it should. Swiatek enters the Round of 16 with every expectation that she will compete in the French Open women's singles final on Saturday, June 8. She is three wins away. This is the start of her Week 2 campaign in Paris.
Here are the Iga Swiatek-Anastasia Potapova French Open odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
French Open Odds: Iga Swiatek-Anastasia Potapova Odds
Game spread:
Swiatek -7.5: +104
Potapova: +7.5: -138
Money line
Swiatek: -4500
Potapova: +1600
To win first set
Swiatek: -1600
Potapova: +920
Total Games In Match
Over 17.5: +106
Under 17.5: -140
Swiatek over 12.5 games: +225
Swiatek under 12.5 games: -320
Potapova over 5.5 games: +110
Potapova under 5.5 games: -144
How To Watch Iga Swiatek vs Anastasia Potapova
Article Continues BelowTV: Tennis Channel
Stream: Tennis Channel Plus
Time: 5:10 a.m. ET / 2:10 a.m. PT
*Watch Iga Swiatek-Anastasia Potapova LIVE on fuboTV (click for a free trial)*
Why Iga Swiatek Could Cover The Spread
The champion at Roland Garros looked like a champion against Bouzkova. Swiatek is so fully at home in this tournament that decisive wins are expected, not merely hoped for. If Swiatek wins a 6-2, 6-2 match, she will cover the spread. When Swiatek is really locked in, she will often win a set 6-1 against an inferior player. It is entirely realistic to think she can cover a 7.5-game spread. Her dominance at Roland Garros shows that she is capable of delivering blowout wins, not merely straight-set wins. If there's anyone to trust on this surface and at this tournament, it is Swiatek.
Why Anastasia Potapova Could Cover The Spread
If Potapova loses this match 6-3, 6-2, she still covers the spread. She will need to get blown off the court to not cover the spread. If Potapova can lose the first set by a margin of no more than 6-3, she would have to lose the second set 6-1 to not cover the spread.
Final Iga Swiatek-Anastasia Potapova Prediction & Pick
The reality of betting on Iga Swiatek matches against players outside the top 10 is that Swiatek will win comfortably. However, the level of comfort matters to any bettor. The really tricky part about tennis betting is that a tennis player can win a match relatively routinely and yet not demolish opponents on the scoreboard. A 6-3 set is not a blowout, but it is decisive. If Swiatek wins a 6-3 first set, she will have done well, but such an outcome would favor Potapova covering the spread. It's simply not an easy thing to bet on. Stay away from this match.
Final Iga Swiatek-Anastasia Potapova Prediction & Pick: Potapova +7.5 games