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Iga Swiatek takes on Naomi Osaka at the French Open. Our French Open odds series has our Swiatek Osaka prediction and pick. Find out how to watch Swiatek Osaka.
The 2024 French Open contains some tremendous stories. Here is one of them on Day 4 of the tournament in Paris. It's a matchup of two WTA players who have each won four major singles championships. Iga Swiatek has won three Roland Garros titles, which has inspired her Polish fans and others around the world to refer to the French Open as “Poland Garros.” Swiatek also has a U.S. Open championship to give her four majors. Naomi Osaka has won two U.S. Opens and two Australian Opens. It's not often that you will see two players with four major titles meet in the second round of a major tournament. Two elites meeting in a semifinal for final? Sure. Not this early. It's a rare and special event.
Swiatek is the clear-cut favorite to win this tournament. Her dominance on clay is well-known and fully established. However, Osaka is a big-tournament player. She doesn't have a huge amount of tour wins, but when she does win a tournament, it's usually one of the majors. It's true that Osaka does not play well on clay. She has been historically weak on the surface. However, a champion getting a big stage like this could bring out the best in Osaka's tennis. Swiatek has to be ready to expect the best from her opponent. Swiatek is a heavy favorite, but this could get interesting at least for a little while. There is a definite curiosity about how this high-profile matchup might affect either player. It's not an ordinary Round of 64 match, to be sure.
Here are the Iga Swiatek-Naomi Osaka French Open odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
French Open Odds: Iga Swiatek-Naomi Osaka Odds
Game spread: No game spread is listed for this match.
Money line
Swiatek: -3000
Osaka: +1200
To win first set
Swiatek: -1100
Osaka: +640
Total Games In Match
Over 17.5: -136
Under 17.5: -104
Swiatek over 12.5 games: +156
Swiatek under 12.5 games: -215
Osaka over 5.5 games: -134
Osaka under 5.5 games: +102
How To Watch Iga Swiatek vs Naomi Osaka
TV: Tennis Channel
Article Continues Below
Stream: Tennis Channel Plus
Time: Approx 10 a.m. ET / 7 a.m. PT (could start later if previous matches run long)
*Watch Iga Swiatek-Naomi Osaka LIVE on fuboTV (click for a free trial)*
Why Iga Swiatek Could Cover The Spread
The reigning champion at Roland Garros is simply too good for Osaka on clay. If this was a hardcourt match, it would be a somewhat different story. Osaka's four major titles are all on hardcourts. That is her only good surface. Osaka has not been especially good on clay or grass. Swiatek is so comfortable on red dirt that she can take control early and never allow Osaka to get a foothold in this match.
There is no game spread listed, but we can focus on whether Osaka will win enough games to produce more than 17.5 in the match. If you think the number of total games is going over 17.5, you are saying Osaka will make this close. Therefore, if you think Swiatek will blow out Osaka, you should go under the 17.5 total.
Why Naomi Osaka Could Cover The Spread
Osaka isn't a complete player on clay, but she does have a world-class serve. Osaka can hit enough big serves and forehands to hold in six service games. That should enable her to go over the 5.5 game total in this match.
Final Iga Swiatek-Naomi Osaka Prediction & Pick
Osaka's serve should enable her to win at least six games. Go with the over there. Also, though, Swiatek should go under 12.5 games at -215. If you can parlay Swiatek under 12.5 and Osaka over 5.5, you should go for it.
Final Iga Swiatek-Naomi Osaka Prediction & Pick: Osaka over 5.5 games
