Subscribe
Follow Us
Bryce Miller will take the mound for the Mariners to close out this interleague series with the Marlins on Sunday afternoon. It's time to continue our MLB odds series with a Mariners-Marlins prediction and pick.
Mariners-Marlins Projected Starters
Bryce Miller vs. Braxton Garrett
Bryce Miller (6-5) with a 3.46 ERA and 1.01 WHIP
Last Start: Bryce Miller earned the win Tuesday against the Guardians, allowing three runs (two earned) on six hits and two walks over 5.2 innings. He struck out two.
2024 Road Splits: Bryce Miller has had some trouble on the road this season with a 2-3 record and 5.54 ERA, giving up 16 runs on 17 hits over his last three road starts.
Braxton Garrett (2-2) with a 5.35 ERA and 1.19 WHIP
Last Start: Braxton Garrett struck out six and allowed one run on five hits and no walks over six innings in a no-decision during Monday's extra-innings loss to the Cardinals.
2024 Home Splits: In a small sample size, Garrett hasn't had great luck at home with a 0-1 record, 8.35 ERA, and 1.47 WHIP.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Mariners-Marlins Odds
Seattle Mariners: -1.5 (-102)
Moneyline: -172
Miami Marlins: +1.5 (-118)
Moneyline: +144
Over: 7.5 (-112)
Under: 7.5 (-108)
How to Watch Mariners vs. Marlins
Time: 1:40 PM ET/10:40 AM PT
TV: Bally Sports Florida, Root Sports Northwest, MLB Extra Innings
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Mariners Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Seattle Mariners are set to face the Miami Marlins on Sunday afternoon in this interleague series finale, with Bryce Miller taking the mound against Braxton Garrett.
Bryce Miller has been a standout for Seattle this season, boasting a 6-5 record with a 3.46 ERA. While his road performance has been less stellar compared to his home stats, Miller's overall consistency and ability to limit runs make him a formidable opponent. The Mariners are 9-6 when Miller starts, indicating his positive impact on the team's performance.
On the other hand, Braxton Garrett has struggled significantly, especially at home. With a 2-2 record and a 5.35 ERA, Garrett's numbers are less impressive. His home ERA of 8.35 is particularly concerning, suggesting that he has difficulty performing under the pressure of home crowds. Miami is 4-3 when Garrett starts, but his inconsistency and high ERA at home make him a liability.
Seattle's offense, while not the most potent in terms of batting average, has shown power with 85 home runs, ranking them 8th in MLB. This power-hitting capability can exploit Garrett's weaknesses, especially given his tendency to allow home runs. Additionally, the Mariners' bullpen has been reliable, ranking 7th in team ERA, which could be crucial in maintaining a lead.
Conversely, the Marlins' offense has been lackluster, ranking last in home runs and 29th in runs per game. This lack of offensive firepower will make it difficult for Miami to support Garrett, especially against a solid pitcher like Miller. Miami's bullpen has also been problematic, with a high number of blown saves, further tilting the odds in Seattle's favor.
Bryce Miller's consistency and the Mariners' power-hitting and reliable bullpen give them a significant edge over Braxton Garrett and the struggling Marlins. Expect Seattle to capitalize on these advantages and secure a win on Sunday afternoon.
Why The Marlins Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Miami Marlins are set to conclude their homestand with a Sunday afternoon matchup against the Seattle Mariners, featuring Braxton Garrett on the mound against Bryce Miller.
Braxton Garrett, while not the most heralded of the Marlins' pitching prospects, has developed into a reliable mid-rotation starter. His six-pitch repertoire, including a newly added cutter, has allowed him to effectively mix his pitches and keep hitters off balance. Garrett's command is exceptional, with a walk rate of just 2.5%, and his ground ball rate of 51.3% indicates his ability to induce weak contact. Although his ERA stands at 5.35, his FIP of 3.79 suggests he has been somewhat unlucky and is due for better results.
The Marlins' offense, though struggling overall, has bright spots that can exploit Miller's weaknesses. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has returned to form, showcasing his blend of power and speed, while Bryan De La Cruz has been a consistent power threat with 13 home runs. The Mariners' bullpen, while strong, has shown vulnerabilities that the Marlins can capitalize on late in the game.
Bryce Miller, despite his impressive 3.46 ERA, has had mixed results on the road. The Marlins can leverage their home-field advantage, where Garrett has shown flashes of brilliance, including several starts with one or fewer runs allowed. Additionally, the Marlins' lineup has the potential to break out, especially against a pitcher like Miller who has shown susceptibility to the long ball.
Braxton Garrett's command and ability to induce ground balls, combined with the potential for the Marlins' offense to capitalize on Miller's road struggles, give Miami a fighting chance to end their homestand on a high note. Expect a competitive game where the Marlins could edge out the Mariners with timely hitting and solid pitching from Garrett.
Final Mariners-Marlins Prediction & Pick
This should be a good matchup on Sunday in this series finale in Miami as the Mariners look to leave Miami with some momentum heading into next week's matchup. While Miller has had a rough time on the road, a matchup against the Marlins should help his cause. Miller should limit the bats of the Marlins and just get enough run support from his supporting cast to get the job done on Sunday afternoon.
Click here for more betting news and predictions
Final Mariners-Marlins Prediction & Pick: Seattle Mariners ML (-172), Over 7.5 (-112)
