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The Los Angeles Angels take on the Los Angeles Dodgers. Check out our MLB odds series for our Angels Dodgers prediction and pick.
Noah Syndergaard gets the ball for the Angels, while Tony Gonsolin will make this particular start for the Dodgers.
Noah Syndergaard has a 3.69 ERA, but in terms of making a smart betting pick on this game, his overall numbers are less important than his recent pattern. In his last five starts, Syndergaard has been a yo-yo, going from one extreme to the other. On May 9, he pitched 5 1/3 innings and allowed one run against the Rays. On May 16 against the Rangers, he didn't get out of the first inning and allowed six runs, four of them earned. On May 24 against the Rangers, he dominated, going eight innings and giving up just one run. On May 31 against the Yankees, he went only 2 1/3 innings and surrendered five runs. On June 6 against the Red Sox, he threw six strong innings, conceding only one run. Up. Down. Up. Down. Good. Bad. Will Syndergaard be able to stack good starts together? He is very hard to predict from one game to the next, unless you have assumed that he will simply alternate between his best self and his worst.
Tony Gonsolin has been the best starting pitcher on the Dodgers this year. That's right: not Walker Buehler, not Julio Urias, not Clayton Kershaw, if only because Kershaw has been injured for several weeks. Gonsolin has a 1.58 ERA. He meets the expectations of an ace in every realm except one: He doesn't pitch into the seventh or eighth innings of his starts. He won't give the bullpen a night off. However, he has become a near-automatic producer for Dave Roberts. When he gets the ball in 2022, he almost always goes six innings and gives up no more than one run. He has done exactly that in four of his 11 starts. In two other starts, he went six innings and gave up only two runs. In three other starts, he pitched four to five innings and gave up no more than one run. His only bad start of the season to date was a four-inning, three-run outing against the Diamondbacks on April 26.
How good has Gonsolin been? He has pitched 57 innings in his 11 starts and allowed 10 earned runs. That's one earned run every 5 2/3 innings, and just under one run per start. That's ace-level material; stamina is the only area where Gonsolin is less than a true ace for the Dodgers. He has been terrific.
Courtesy of FanDuel, here are the Angels-Dodgers MLB odds.
MLB Odds: Angels-Dodgers Odds
Los Angeles Angels: +1.5 (-120)
Los Angeles Dodgers: -1.5 (+100)
Over: 9 (-105)
Under: 9 (-115)
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Why The Angels Could Cover the Spread
The Angels recently snapped their 14-game losing streak, but they still lost a series over the weekend against the Mets. This team has too much talent, especially too much hitting, to continue to lose consistently. This doesn't mean the Angels will make the playoffs, but it does mean this team will escape its downward spiral and will begin to create more positive moments as June rolls on. Syndergaard can give this team seven or eight strong innings. Moreover, the Dodgers are hitting terribly right now, especially with runners in scoring position. Syndergaard can keep them under wraps and pave the way for a 4-2 Angel win.
Why The Dodgers Could Cover the Spread
After an embarrassing weekend in San Francisco in which they completely collapsed with runners in scoring position, the Dodgers — who left 14 men on base in a Saturday loss and then wasted multiple leadoff doubles in a Sunday defeat to the Giants — are going to be mad and motivated. They will come out focused and sharp, and they will hit the baseball hard. Tony Gonsolin is their best starting pitcher this year. He will outpitch Syndergaard and get the Dodgers back on track.
Final Angels-Dodgers Prediction & Pick
If you don't trust the struggling Dodgers, or if you think the Angels are due for a good game but aren't fully confident about pulling the trigger here, just go under the total. The Dodgers aren't hitting well, but Gonsolin is pitching extremely well.
Final Angels-Dodgers Prediction & Pick: Under 9
