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The Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles will clash in an interconference matchup on Sunday morning. It's time to continue our NFL odds series and make a Chiefs-Eagles prediction and pick.
This is a huge game for the Chiefs. That's not a sentence that is usually said about Kansas City in Week 4, but it's the truth. The Chiefs are currently last in the AFC West with a 1-2 record. Every other team in the division is at least 2-1, putting head coach Andy Reid's team in need of a win in order to keep pace in the division. The Eagles are in a similar situation, but they don't have any real playoff aspirations. Despite their lack of postseason hopes, Philadelphia would love to get back on track after being humiliated by the Dallas Cowboys on national television in Week 3. A good showing against the Chiefs would do wonders for the confidence of this young Philly squad, so they obviously have something to play for.
Here's how the bookmakers have set the Chiefs-Eagles odds for this Sunday morning matchup.
NFL Odds: Chiefs-Eagles Odds
Kansas City Chiefs -7.5 (-105)
Philadelphia Eagles +7.5 (-115)
Over 54.5 points (-108)
Under 54.5 points (-112)
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Why The Chiefs Can Cover The Spread
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Despite their recent losing streak, Kansas City is undeniably one of the best teams in the NFL. It all starts with quarterback Patrick Mahomes, who is easily the best signal-caller in the world. Receiver Tyreek Hill and tight end Travis Kelce form one of the truly elite pass-catching duos in the league. Philadelphia just faced their first elite offense in their matchup with the Cowboys, and they allowed 41 points. Dallas quarterback Dak Prescott threw only four incompletions and three touchdowns. This isn't a particularly strong Eagles defense, so Mahomes and crew should tear through them like a hot knife through butter.
This Philadelphia defense remains overrated after a Week 1 thrashing of the Atlanta Falcons. Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts led his team to 32 points in that contest, but his performance in his last two appearances is more indicative of what we can expect from him for the rest of the year. Over those two appearances, Hurts has sported a poor completion percentage, poor overall efficiency, and a couple of turnovers to top it all off. Philadelphia just doesn't have the offensive weapons necessary to hang with truly elite offensive squads like Kansas City. That was proven against the Cowboys, and it's likely to hold true in this matchup.
Why The Eagles Can Cover The Spread
Every team has an Achilles heel, and Kansas City's seems to be turnovers. They've committed five over their last two contests, with both games ending in losses. Running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire fumbled the game away against the Baltimore Ravens and dropped the ball again against the Los Angeles Chargers. The Eagles haven't been great at taking the ball away from opponents, but they certainly have the defensive talent necessary to do so. Philadelphia only allowed 23 points through their first two games before running into Dallas, so a couple of takeaways could be in the books in this one.
To be frank, the Chiefs just haven't been good on offense. They allowed 6.1 yards per carry to the Ravens in a loss and got eviscerated through the air by Justin Herbert in Week 3. Obviously, Philadelphia isn't on par with either of those offenses, but they should be able to get something going against Kansas City, particularly on the ground. The Chiefs also allowed 5.9 yards per carry to the Cleveland Browns, so their track record against the running game is downright horrible. Look for the Eagles to control the ball in this game and try to keep Mahomes off the field.
Final Chiefs-Eagles Prediction & Pick
This line reeks of recency bias. It's true that the Chiefs have dropped two in a row, but they deserve to be ten-point favorites against this floundering Philadelphia team. It's an easy decision to bet on Kansas City all the way up to a -9 line.
FINAL CHIEFS-EAGLES PREDICTION * PICK: Kansas City Chiefs -7.5 (-105)
