We’re set for another betting prediction and pick for UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira as we turn our attention towards this next bout in the Women’s Flyweight (125) Division. Carli Judice will make her UFC debut against Brazilian prospect Gabriella Fernandes. Check out our UFC odds series for our Judice-Fernandes prediction and pick.

Carli Judice (3-1) comes into this fight making her UFC debut following a split-decision loss on Dana White’s Contender Series. Prior to that, she rode a three-fight win streak with all fights ending in the first round. With just four fights on each of her professional and amateur records, she’s still extremely new to the sport and the UFC sees promise in her development. Judice stands 5’7″ with a 68-inch reach.

Gabriella Fernandes (8-3) will also be searching for her first UFC win following an 0-2 start to open her tenure. She was a 3-0 prospect in LFA prior to her arrival, but she was met with stern competition in Jasmine Jasudavicius and Tereza Bleda. Now, she looks to get back on track coming in as the betting favorite this time around. Fernandes stands 5’6″ with a 66-inch reach.

Here are the UFC Vegas 93 Odds, courtesy of BetOnline. 

UFC Vegas 93 Odds: Carli Judice-Gabriella Fernandes Odds

Carli Judice: +135

Gabriella Fernandes: -155

Over 2.5 rounds: -205

Under 2.5 rounds: +165

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Why Carli Judice Will Win

Carli Judice had her first amateur fight in 2021 where she opened with a 4-0 record through 2023. She opened her professional career with three-straight first round knockouts in regional promotions and immediately garnered attention from the UFC. She fought tooth-and-nail during her DWCS audition and while she wasn’t given the win, she ultimately gets her chance to prove her skills on the big stage. Judice is a power puncher and in her debut, landed over 11 significant strikes per minute despite the loss.

Carli Judice will be seeing a massive step-up in competition from here on out and she’ll have to evolve her skills a bit if she wants to be successful against a wide range of fighters. Gabriella Fernandes has a dangerous submission game, so expect Judice to get this fight on the feet as she looks to march forward and land punches. We also saw her ability to take a shot during her DWCS debut, so don’t expect her to go away quietly in this one. Still, staying upright and in boxing range will be paramount for her success.

Why Gabriella Fernandes Will Win

Gabriella Fernandes is a solid all-around prospect as she’s notched three wins by decision, three by submission, and two by knockout. She’s also never been finished in her pro career and she’ll be in a big spot here to make up for her last loss. She has certainly fought better competition compared to Judice and her 3-0 run through LFA was quite impressive. If she can be the more aggressive fighter and meet Judice in the center of the cage with the striking, she should prove that she’s the more technical fighter both on the feet and on the mat.

Fernandes has had some trouble with her cardio in the past, but her opponent hasn’t been particularly solid in that aspect either. Fernandes has a chance to extend this fight and pull Judice into deep waters during her debut, only benefitting Fernandes’ ground game later on. We’ve also seen Fernandes start her fights hot, so don’t be surprised if she tries to impose herself early and push her opponent against the cage where she can’t fire combinations. Look for Fernandes to be the more active fighter in the cage as she circles her opponent and finds a way to win this fight.

Final Carli Judice-Gabriella Fernandes Prediction & Pick

This is an interesting matchup given the circumstances as both fighter has yet to see their first UFC win. Both women have been very successful fighting on the regional scene and they’re both still taking time to adjust to the bright lights of the UFC.

Carli Judice is certainly the more aggressive fighter here and she’ll be more active in marching forward and seeking the knockout punch. Gabriella Fernandes has yet to be finished in a pro fight, so I expect her to handle the pressure well and not allow Judice to land too many unanswered shots. If Judice can land, however, this could be a quick night as she finds the KO/TKO win.

For our prediction, we’re going to ride with Gabriella Fernandes to get the win. At this point, she’s the more well-rounded fighter and can mix up the looks here if she takes this fight to the ground and starts chasing submissions. Carli Judice has a promising striking game, but we can’t back her until we see some serious evolution in her fight game.

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Final Carli Judice-Gabriella Fernandes Prediction & Pick: Gabriella Fernandes (-155)