PFL Week 5: Clay Collard vs. Mads Burnell continues on the main card with a co-main event fight between Impa Kasanganay and Jakob Nedoah in the light heavyweight division. Kasanganay picked up where he left off after winning last PFL season when he got the first-round knockout meanwhile, Nedoh’s PFL regular season debut didn’t go as planned when he was knocked out in round one. With that said, check out our PFL odds series for our Kasanganay-Nedoh prediction and pick.

Impa Kasanganay (16-4) took the PFL by storm when he dominated last season and took home the coveted PFL Championship and $1 Million prize in just his first year. He then picked up where he left off when he knocked out Alex Polizzi in round one to kickstart this PFL season. Kasanganay will look to continue his dominance and secure his spot in the PFL playoffs when he takes on Jakob Nedoh on Friday night.

Jakob Nedoh (8-2) got his shot at this year’s PFL season after winning the 2023 PFL Europe tournament. Things didn’t go quite as well as it did last year when he was knocked out in the first round of his debut against Dovletdzhan Yagshimirov. Nedoh will be looking to get back on track when he takes on 2023 PFL winner Impa Kassanganay.

Here are the PFL 5 Odds, courtesy of BetOnline. 

PFL 5 Odds: Impa Kasanganay-Jakob Nedoh Odds

Impa Kasanganay: -400

Jakob Nedoh: +300

Over 1.5 rounds: +145

Under 1.5 rounds: -175

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Why Impa Kasanganay Will Win

Impa Kasanganay is poised to secure a victory over Jakob Nedoh at PFL 5 as one of the biggest betting favorites on this fight card.

Kasanganay’s extensive experience in high-stakes matches gives him a significant edge. With a professional record of 16-4, he has faced and triumphed over formidable opponents in both the UFC and PFL, including a recent first-round KO victory over Alex Polizzi. His ability to adapt and excel in various fighting environments showcases his versatility and resilience.

Kasanganay’s technical proficiency and strategic acumen are superior. He has demonstrated a balanced skill set with wins by knockout, submission, and decision, reflecting his well-rounded approach to combat. His striking accuracy and takedown defense are particularly noteworthy, allowing him to control the pace and direction of the fight effectively.

Jakob Nedoh, while a promising fighter, lacks the same level of experience and has shown vulnerabilities in his past fights, including a recent loss to Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov. Nedoh’s aggressive style may leave openings for Kasanganay to exploit, particularly given Kasanganay’s superior reach and defensive capabilities. Kasanganay’s combination of experience, technical skill, and strategic intelligence positions him as the favorite to win this bout.

Why Jakob Nedoh Will Win

Jakob Nedoh is set to triumph over Impa Kasanganay at PFL 5 in what would be a monumental upset.

Nedoh’s aggressive and relentless fighting style can overwhelm opponents, including seasoned fighters like Kasanganay. With a professional record of 8-2, Nedoh has demonstrated his ability to finish fights decisively, boasting a high knockout rate that underscores his striking power and precision. His recent victories have showcased his ability to adapt and capitalize on his opponent’s weaknesses, making him a formidable contender.

Nedoh’s physical attributes, including his reach and athleticism, provide him with a significant advantage. His reach allows him to maintain distance and control the tempo of the fight, effectively neutralizing Kasanganay’s striking and grappling attempts. Additionally, Nedoh’s conditioning and endurance enable him to sustain high-intensity pressure throughout the rounds, potentially wearing down Kasanganay over time.

Nedoh’s recent training camp has focused on refining his defensive techniques and takedown defense, areas where Kasanganay typically excels. By shoring up these aspects of his game, Nedoh is better prepared to counter Kasanganay’s strategies and exploit any openings. Jakob Nedoh’s aggressive style, physical advantages, and improved defensive skills position him as a strong candidate to secure a victory over Impa Kasanganay at PFL 5.

Final Impa Kasanganay-Jakob Nedoh Prediction & Pick

This fight should be a barnburner for however long it lasts between these two light heavyweights. Kasanganay is hoping to secure his spot in the playoffs with yet another finish on Friday while Nedoh is hoping to defy all the odds and get his first PFL regular season victory. Ultimately, this is a tall ask for the inexperienced Nedoh and he’s going to be on the wrong end of some powerful shots from Kasanganay who will put him out early in this fight and secure his place in the PFL playoffs.

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Final Impa Kasanganay-Jakob Nedoh Prediction & Pick: Impa Kasanganay (-400), Under 1.5 Rounds (-175)