The Houston Astros take on the Seattle Mariners. Check out our MLB odds series for our Astros Mariners prediction and pick.
Jose Urquidy gets the call for the Astros, while Logan Gilbert takes the hill for the Mariners.
Jose Urquidy has a 4.24 ERA. In three of his eight starts so far this season, Urquidy pitched 14 innings and allowed 14 runs. In his other five starts, Urquidy pitched 26 1/3 innings and gave up only five runs. He has walked just five hitters all season, but he has allowed seven home runs. Urquidy shows considerable upside, but has yet to cultivate the consistency the Astros need from him this season. He is a puzzle and a very complicated part of any attempt to make an Astros Mariners pick.
Logan Gilbert has a 2.60 ERA. The 25-year-old has a live arm, but the challenge is locating the ball with such electric stuff. Gilbert has struck out 55 hitters in nine starts, an average of just over six strikeouts per start. However, in his last six starts, Gilbert has walked 17 batters in 35 1/3 innings, a rate of more than four walks per nine innings. That is not sustainable, and it merits attention from anyone considering an Astros Mariners prediction based on the current MLB odds.
Courtesy of FanDuel, here are the Astros-Mariners MLB odds.
MLB Odds: Astros-Mariners Odds
Houston Astros: -1.5 (+142)
Seattle Mariners: +1.5 (-172)
Over: 7.5 (-106)
Under: 7.5 (-114)
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Why The Astros Could Cover the Spread
The Astros are the best team in the American League West, possibly the entire American League (though the New York Yankees would have something to say about that). Houston has gotten great pitching from its rotation and bullpen this season and has been able to win a lot of games when its offense has failed to score large numbers of runs. After Justin Verlander suffered a rare bad outing on Friday night in Seattle, a good team should be expected to respond well and get back on track. The Mariners had a good night, but the M’s can’t yet be trusted to stack wins together, especially against the Astros, who are the class of their division. The big picture is important to remember when making an Astros Mariners prediction.
Why The Mariners Could Cover the Spread
After the breakout game on Friday night against Verlander, the Mariners might have found the moment of awakening they needed. This can still be a good team. The season is in big trouble, yes, but it isn’t completely lost — not with more than 110 games left. That’s way too early to give up on the chase for an elusive playoff spot. After crushing Justin Verlander, the Mariners will come to the ballpark happy and eager to get to work, something which hasn’t regularly been the case over the past four weeks. If the Mariners carry momentum from Friday into Saturday, they have a pitching matchup they can work with. Logan Gilbert’s ERA is more than 1.5 runs lower than Jose Urquidy’s mark. That’s a significant advantage for Seattle, and it’s something to absorb when making an Astros Mariners pick.
Final Astros-Mariners Prediction & Pick
This is another stay-away game, because one doesn’t know if the Mariners have found a moment of revival, or if Friday was a temporary aberration. It’s simply not easy to read which way the Mariners will go in this game. If you had to make a pick, trust the Astros to bounce back.
Final Astros-Mariners Prediction & Pick: Astros -1.5
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