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Cubs Brewers prediction odds pick

MLB odds: Cubs vs. Brewers prediction, odds, pick, and more – 6/29/2021

The Chicago Cubs will continue their three-game series against the rival Milwaukee Brewers after a demoralizing defeat on Monday. The Brewers opened the floodgates in the bottom of the eighth inning, pouring on 10 runs to secure a win. Milwaukee will look to stretch its lead in the NL Central with another win, while the Cubs desperately need a win to keep pace with the Brewers and continue the fight for the division. It’s time to continue our MLB odds series and make a Cubs-Brewers prediction and pick.

Before the pick, let’s check how the sportsbooks have set the lines for this game.

MLB Odds: Cubs-Brewers Odds

Chicago Cubs +1 1/2 (-120)

Milwaukee Brewers -1 1/2 (+100)

Over 7 1/2 runs (-105)

Under 7 1/2 runs (-115)

Why The Cubs Could Cover The Spread

The Cubs’ pitching is almost always what gives them their opportunity to win, and this game is no different. Zach Davies has been a solid starter all year for Chicago, and he looks to be hitting his stride right now. He has been fantastic over his last seven starts. earning an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.10. The Brewers are worse against right-handed pitching, giving Davies another edge. Both are far better than his season totals, meaning that Davies is on a bit of a heater.

The Cubs’ bullpen should also play a big role in this game. Davies doesn’t go particularly deep into games, but he’s usually good for six strong innings. The Chicago relief corps is a dominant unit that is likely to successfully rebound from a dreadful outing on Monday.

Chicago has the unenviable task of facing Brandon Woodruff, though. Woodruff has been one of the best pitchers in MLB all season long, so nothing will come easily. But the Brewers have been prone to giving up more runs at home than on the road, as well as pitching worse in night games. These factors may not seem like much, but they could help Chicago gain an edge against a truly elite pitcher.

Why The Brewers Could Cover The Spread

With Woodruff on the mound, the Brewers have a shot at beating anyone in baseball. That isn’t hyperbole, but rather just a testament to how great Woodruff is. He has been completely dominant all season long, ranking third in MLB in ERA while also ranking in the top 10 in WAR.

There is even more reason to believe that Woodruff will pitch well on Tuesday. He has faced the Cubs twice this season, going six innings in both outings and allowing only one run over those two games. Of the entire projected lineup for the Cubs, only one player is hitting over .200 against Woodruff.

To make things even better, Chicago struggles against right-handed pitching, hitting only .217 against righties as opposed to .242 against lefties. The Cubs are also a much worse offensive team when playing away from Wrigley Field, with worse statistics in every major batting category when on the road.

Final Cubs-Brewers Prediction & Pick

With both teams struggling at the plate and two good pitchers slated to start, I’m taking the under again. Woodruff has been near-untouchable lately, and Davies is good enough for me to bet on a solid performance from him. Both bullpens are trustworthy, and I don’t think Chicago’s epic eighth-inning meltdown will repeat itself. The Brewers are also a decent bet here.

FINAL PICK: Under 7 1/2 runs (-115)