The Miami Marlins will look to enter game two of their series with a short memory as they take on the New York Mets on the road. Join us for our MLB odds series, where our Marlins-Mets prediction and pick will be made.

 

After getting absolutely destroyed by New York in a 10-0 shutout loss on Thursday, it was hard to find anything that Miami did well during the opening game of this series. Eager to turn things around for his team will be righty, Pablo Lopez. Lopez is 5-4 with a 2.97 ERA so far this season.

On the other side of things, the Mets experienced possibly their best all-around performance of the entire year. Scoring all ten of their runs in the first five frames of the ballgame, New York put the pedal to the metal and did not spend anytime whatsoever looking back. Trying to give his squad another win in this series will be RHP Chris Bassitt, who is 6-5 and has accumulated a 4.01 earned-run average.

Courtesy of FanDuel, here are the Marlins-Mets MLB odds.

MLB Odds: Marlins-Mets Odds

Miami Marlins +1.5 (-152)

New York Mets: -1.5 (+126)

Over: 7.5 (+102)

Under: 7.5 (-124)

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Why The Marlins Could Cover the Spread

In the most lopsided loss of the season to date, Miami was ready to pack up and head back to the hotel barely through the halfway point of yesterday's divisional matchup with the Mets. While all teams in every sport have bad days, it was a night that the Marlins are excited to soon forget. After a six-game winning streak saw them perform to the best of their abilities, the Marlins have now dropped back-to-back games and have only generated two runs in the pair of losses.

Obviously, an embarrassing 10-0 beatdown was not what Miami expected during their business trip to the Big Apple, and even more discouraging was the fact that they were using bats made out of Swiss cheese. In fact, Miami only had two baserunners reach all night long as they sent only 28 batters to the plate. On the season, Miami has been a slightly above-average hitting team as they have hit .241 and have generated a .393 slugging percentage as a team. If the Marlins want to snap out of their mini two-game skid, a different approach at the plate will be needed.

Additionally, preventing the Mets off the base paths may be a good place to start too. It is vital that Miami gets ahead in counts and limits the amount of times the Mets have the opportunity to square up the ball.

Throughout the end of May, Pablo Lopez could not be touched. He was 4-2 with a 1.89 ERA but is 1-2 with a 4.89 earned-run average in his six subsequent starts since then. Obviously, the pitching of Lopez will play a big part in whether or not the Marlins can avenge their shortcomings. The 26-year-old Venezuelan is 2-3 with a 4.99 ERA in seven starts against the Mets in his career.

Why The Mets Could Cover the Spread

New York certainly gave their fans a show on Thursday night as they cornered the Marlins in the ring and were seeking the knockout blow early on. It was the type of overall performance from the Mets that has made the people within Queens filled with excitement and hopes of raising a championship banner later in the fall. Simply put, New York was flawless.

An exact repeat of yesterday's blowout will no doubt be tough to accomplish, but don't put it past the Mets. With ten runs scored on the night, their season run total has now reached the 400 mark. As a result, they are now ranked fourth in baseball when it comes to crossing the plate. Not to mention, but this is a bunch that has recorded an extremely efficient .327 on-base percentage and is raking a very dangerous .258 through 83 games of the season.

By adding another shutout victory to their resumes on Thursday, their 3.80 ERA and .234 batting average against remains among baseball's elite from the mound.

The biggest X-factor for the Mets in game two of this series will be on the shoulders of Mr. Chris Bassitt. Making his third straight start against Miami and his first appearance since being placed on the COVID list on July 1st. Nevertheless, Bassitt has given up three runs in each of his last two outings versus the Marlins and even tossed seven innings in the most recent start. If the 33-year-old twirler can get into a rhythm early, then the Mets may be singing sweet, sweet, victory once again.

Final Marlins-Mets Prediction & Pick

Does New York have what it takes to dismantle the Marlins in similar fashion as yesterday? Most likely not, but sports bettors should feel the itch to place their wagers on the Mets in this one. With Lopez struggling with his command and location on pitches and New York's offense absolutely humming with confidence, the Mets should be expected to cover the spread in this NL East matchup a Citi Field.

Final Marlins-Mets Prediction & Pick: Mets -1.5 (+126)