The Dallas Mavericks (36-35) visit the Memphis Grizzlies (42-27) on Monday night! Action tips off at 8:10 p.m. ET. Below we continue our NBA odds series with a Mavericks-Grizzlies prediction, pick, and how to watch.
Dallas has won two straight and sits in sixth place in the Western Conference. The Mavericks covered 38% of their games while 54% went over the projected point total. Memphis has won two straight as well and sits in third place in the West. The Grizzlies covered 49% of their games while 54% went under. This will be the fourth and final meeting between the division rivals. Memphis holds a 2-1 advantage thus far thanks to winning two matchups in a two-day span earlier this month.
Here are the Mavericks-Grizzlies NBA odds, courtesy of FanDuel
NBA Odds: Mavericks-Grizzlies Odds
Dallas Mavericks: +5 (-110)
Memphis Grizzlies: -5 (-110)
Over: 227 (-110)
Under: 227 (-110)
How To Watch Mavericks vs. Grizzlies
TV: NBA TV, Bally Southwest, Bally Southeast
Stream: NBA League Pass
Time: 8:00 p.m. ET/ 5:00 p.m. PT
*Watch NBA games LIVE with fuboTV (click for a free trial)*
Why The Mavericks Could Cover The Spread
Dallas may be starting to figure things out at the right time as they have won two in a row after sputtering since the All-Star break. The Mavericks remain one of the most peculiar teams in the league as they have strong defensive metrics thanks to their slow pace but are clearly an offense-first team. The Mavericks are very efficient on the offensive end, ranking in the top ten in both two and three-point shooting efficiency. Additionally, they are among the most potent outside three-point shooting teams in the league as they average the third-most made and attempted threes per game. That bodes well for their chances of covering tonight considering the weakest part of Memphis' defense is its ability to defend the three.
If the Mavericks are going to cover against a strong Grizzlies team, they are going to need a big night from Kyrie Irving. Irving has been on fire since the All-Star break, averaging 28.5 PPG, 5.4 RPG, and 6.4 APG. He's been highly efficient over that span, shooting 52% overall and 43% from three. While Irving is questionable tonight, he is coming off a 38-point outing in their win over the Lakers on Friday night and will be much-needed with Luka Doncic out.
With Luka out, the Mavericks will need Tim Hardaway Jr. to continue his strong play of late. Hardaway Jr. is questionable with an illness but he has thrived since the All-Star break. Over his last 10 games, the veteran wing has averaged 16.5 PPG and 4.0 threes per game while shooting 48% from the floor. That being said, if he is out look for Jaden Hardy to continue to see an uptick in usage. The rookie second-round pick had a ton of success against the Grizzlies when these teams met last week, scoring 22 and 28 points.
Why The Grizzlies Could Cover The Spread
Memphis has stayed the course after some injury and off-the-court concerns but they still are tied for second place in the West and are just four games behind the first-place Nuggets. Memphis has fallen off on both ends since Steven Adams got hurt and Ja Morant got suspended but they remain a strong all-around team. The Grizzlies allow the sixth-fewest points per game while putting up the tenth-most points per game themselves. They are especially potent in the paint where they score the most points per game while giving up the fourth-fewest points per game. Additionally, Memphis is an elite rebounding team that holds the fifth-highest offensive rebound rate. Those inside numbers bode especially well for their chances of covering tonight considering Dallas' interior struggles.
Memphis will need Desmond Bane and Jaren Jackson Jr. to continue their strong offensive production if the Grizzlies are going to cover as home favorites. Since the All-Star break, both players have been forced into primary roles in Memphis' offense. Over their last 13 games, Bane has averaged 20.3 PPG, 5.6 RPG, and 4.5 APG. The sharpshooter has been notably cold from deep but is still shooting a strong 48% overall.
As for Jackson, the defensive stalwart looks to finally be coming into his own since the All-Star break. He's averaged 19.3 PPG and 1.5 threes while maintaining his strong 2.5 blocks per game. With 25+ in each of his last three, look for JJJ to have another big night against a weak Memphis frontline.
Final Mavericks-Grizzlies Prediction & Pick
Pay close attention to the status of Kyrie Irving. If Irving is cleared to play, the Mavericks should have enough offense to keep things tight tonight. If he isn't, the Grizzlies should make short work of Dallas' poor defense.
Final Mavericks-Grizzlies Prediction & Pick: Dallas Mavericks +5 (-110)
Follow Us
Subscribe