The Toronto Raptors will face the Sacramento Kings in an interconference matchup on Friday night. It’s time to continue our NBA Odds series and make a Raptors-Kings prediction and pick.
Both of these teams are in desperate need of a win. The Raptors have lost six of their last seven contests, including all three of their most recent games. At this point, it seems unlikely that Toronto makes the playoffs at all, even though the lower seeds in the east are notoriously weak. Sacramento is in a similar boat, as they’ve lost five of their last six games. The Kings are currently ranked 12th in the West, a position that they’ll likely never recover from. This game is a huge opportunity for both of these teams to start to turn things around, so it should be an interesting matchup.
Here are the odds for the Raptors-Kings game, courtesy of FanDuel.
NBA Odds: Raptors-Kings Odds
Toronto Raptors: +3.5 (-110)
Sacramento Kings: -3.5 (-110)
Over: 221 (-110)
Under: 221 (-110)
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Why The Raptors Can Cover The Spread
In the Raptors’ wins this season, it has been because of their defense. Toronto only allows 106 points per game, which places their defense just above the league average.
The Raptors have also specialized in creating turnovers, as they lead the NBA in steals per game with an average of nearly seven. In total, Toronto forces an average of 17 turnovers per game. The Kings are already a below average team when it comes to taking care of the ball, so this matchup should play into the Raptors’ hand perfectly.
Unsurprisingly, the Kings haven’t been a great team when it comes to covering the spread. Sacramento is 7-8 ATS, but that number gets worse when we look at this specific matchup. Head coach Luke Walton’s squad is 2-4 against the spread when they play at home, making them one of the worst teams in the league at defending their home court against the spread. The bookmakers may be giving Sacramento a little bit too much credit in this spot.
Why The Kings Can Cover The Spread
This Kings team couldn’t be more different than the Raptors squad that they’re facing. Sacramento relies almost entirely on their offense to win games, and their scorers have answered the call.
Led by point guard De’Aaron Fox, Sacramento scores an average of 110 points per game, one of the best numbers in the league. The Kings also rank inside the Top 10 in the NBA in shooting efficiency, two point percentage, and field goals made per game. This is a dangerous offense that a mediocre Raptors defense will have plenty of trouble with.
While the Kings haven’t been a great team against the spread, the Raptors have been even worse. Toronto is 6-10 against the spread on the season, while owning a 5-6 record ATS as underdogs. Besides being the clearly less talented team in this game, it doesn’t seem like this is the best situation to pick the Raptors to cover.
Final Raptors-Kings Prediction & Pick
Neither side is a clear-cut slam dunk pick here. Instead, the over is the best selection on the board. This game will be fast-paced and high scoring, so lock in the over and don’t look back.
Final Raptors-Kings Pick: Over: 221 (-110)