The Golden State Warriors will take on the Memphis Grizzlies in Game 2 of their second-round series on Tuesday. It’s time to continue our NBA odds series and make a Warriors-Grizzlies prediction and pick.
The first game between these teams was one of the best of the postseason. The Grizzlies came out of the gates hot, but Golden State wasted no time in responding. After a hectic, back-and-forth affair, the Warriors managed to pull out a one-point victory thanks to a missed Ja Morant layup at the buzzer. This game should be similarly entertaining, so let’s get straight into the pick.
Here are the Warriors-Grizzlies Game 2 odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
NBA Playoffs Odds: Warriors-Grizzlies Game 2 Odds
Golden State Warriors: -2 (-110)
Memphis Grizzlies: +2 (-110)
Over: 227.5 (-110)
Under: 227.5 (-110)
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Why The Warriors Could Cover The Spread
Golden State’s offense will play well again in this contest. Throughout the regular season, the Warriors were one of the best offenses in the NBA. They only averaged 111 points per game, but they shot 47% from the field and 36% from 3-point range. Golden State also had some of the best effective field goal numbers and shooting efficiency numbers in the league. Those numbers measure up well against a slightly above-average Memphis defense. The Grizzlies were solid defensively over the course of the season, but they’ve been torched for big offensive showings throughout the postseason. They’ve given up 117 points or more three times already, and it wouldn’t be a surprise to see it happen a fourth time on Tuesday night.
The Grizzlies are dealing with a couple of injuries as they head into this game. Forward Ziaire Williams is questionable for this matchup, and center Steven Adams will sit out because of COVID-19 protocols. However, neither of those injuries are nearly as important as shooting guard Desmond Bane’s status. Bane is currently listed as questionable because of a back injury. His absence would be huge, as he’s the second-best scorer on the Grizzlies. Bane is also one of the best shooters in the NBA, something Memphis sorely needs to keep pace with Golden State. If Bane does miss this game, the Grizzlies will struggle tremendously on offense.
Why The Grizzlies Could Cover The Spread
Memphis should also continue its offensive success. The Grizzlies managed to score 116 points while only shooting 42% from the field, thanks in large part to their fast-break offense. Memphis is the best team in the NBA at running the floor, averaging 17 fast-break points per game. Golden State has struggled this season in transition defense. It helps that the Warriors commit nearly 15 turnovers per game while the Grizzlies average 10 steals per contest. Both of those numbers are among the highest in the NBA in their respective categories. Memphis should be able to capitalize on Golden State’s turnover problems to create plenty of easy fast-break looks here.
The Grizzlies should benefit from home-court advantage as well. Memphis was one of the best home teams in the NBA this season, earning a 30-11 record in FedExForum. The Warriors were similarly successful on their home floor, earning a 31-10 mark at home and a 22-19 record anywhere else. It’s clear that Golden State is far more comfortable at home, but the Dubs will have to play in front of another tough Memphis crowd in this one. That should hugely benefit the Grizzlies as they try to even up the series, and that home crowd should be especially rowdy after all the Draymond Green hubbub.
Final Warriors-Grizzlies Game 2 Prediction & Pick
This game will certainly be close, but Golden State should win and cover here. The Grizzlies are a far more inconsistent team, and there’s a chance they play without one of their best players. Lock in the Warriors.
Final Warriors-Grizzlies Game 2 Prediction & Pick: Golden State Warriors: -2 (-110)