The top pick in the UFL draft is on the line as the Houston Roughnecks face the Memphis Showboats. It is time to continue our UFL odds series with a Roughnecks-Showboats prediction and pick.

The Roughnecks come into the game sitting at 1-8 on the year, and losers of five straight games. Meanwhile, the Showboats last won a game in week one of the season. That was an 18-12 victory over the Roughnecks.  The UFL has announced that instead of the normal, worst team in the league getting the first pick in the draft, the winner of this game will be getting the first pick in this one.

Here are the UFL odds, courtesy of FanDuel. 

UFL Odds: Roughnecks-Showboats Odds

Houston Roughnecks: -2 (-110)

Moneyline: -140

Memphis Showboats: +2 (-110)

Moneyline: +120

Over: 44.5 (-110)

Under: 44.5 (-110)

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Why The Roughnecks Can Cover/Win

The Roughnecks are seventh in the UFL in total yards per game. They are seventh in rushing yards per game and seventh in passing yards. The Roughnecks are last in the UFL in points though. Reid Sinnett has led the offense at quarterback this year. He has completed 62.7 percent of his passes this year, for 1120 yards. Sinnett also has five touchdowns and three interceptions. Sinnett has also run for 42 yards this year and scored once.

The primary running back this year has been TJ Pledger IV. He has 77 rushes for 252 yards on the year. He has yet to find the endzone this year though. Meanwhile, Mark Thompson has 220 yards rushing and five scored on the ground this year. In the receiving game, Justin Hall has led the way. He has 534 yards this year with three touchdowns on 48 catches. Keke Chism has 346 yards and a score, while Emmanuel Butler rounds out the top receivers with 212 yards and a score. Overall, four different players have touchdown receptions, and five players are over 100 yards receiving this year.

The Roughnecks are fifth in the UFL in yards against per game this year. They are fourth against the run, but fifth against the pass. The Roughnecks are fifth in the UFL in points allowed. Chris Odom has been great this year. He has eight tackles for a loss and five sacks this year. He has also forced two fumbles this year. Ethan Westbrooks has 3.5 sacks this year as well and has a fumble recovery. Ruben Foster has 30 tackles this year, with an interception and three pass breakups as well.

Why The Showboats Can Cover/Win

The Showboats are eighth in the UFL in total yards per game this year. They are eight in rushing yards per game while sitting eighth in passing yards. The Showboats are seventh in total points per game. The quarterback situation has been odd in Memphis. Case Cookus originally had the job, then lost it, but now is splitting time again.  Cookus has passed for 989 yards on 61.5 percent passing. He also has seven touchdowns and four interceptions. Troy Williams splits time with him. Williams has passed for 591 yards, five touchdowns, and five interceptions.

The top running back on the season has been Darius Victor. He comes in with 96 rushes, but just 337 yards and two scores on the year. Victor also has 25 receptions for 129 yards. Jonathan Adams and Daewood Davis have been the biggest offensive weapons this year. Adams comes in with 27 catches for 382 yards on the year. Meanwhile, Davis has 39 catches for 446 yards and five scores.  Vinny Papale also has five touchdowns this year, with 33 receptions and 276 yards.

The Showboats are eighth in the UFL in yards against this year. They are sixth UFL against the run this year while sitting eighth against the pass this year. Memphis is also eighth in the UFL in points against. On defense, Maximilian Roberts has been solid. He has four tracks for a loss and four sacks on the year. Meanwhile, Delrick Abramas also has four tackles for a loss, while having an interception and a pass breakup. Greg Reaves has also broken up a pass, forced a fumble, and has 3.5 sacks on the year.

Final Roughnecks-Showboats Prediction & Pick

These are the two worst teams in the UFL. Both teams struggled at quarterback heavily. They both turn over the ball a lot and struggle to score in general. Both the Roughnecks and Showboats have had quarterback issues, but the Roughnecks do have more consistency at quarterback with Reid Sinnett. Still, the big difference between these two teams is the defense. The Showboats have the worst defense in the UFL, while the Roughnecks are much closer to the league average. They will take the win in this one.

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Final Roughnecks-Showboats Prediction & Pick: Roughnecks -2 (-110)