The Houston Texans and the New England Patriots face off on Sunday Night Football in a key AFC showdown. The Texans currently sit in first place of the AFC South, but a loss in this game and a win by the Indianapolis Colts would move them back into a tie.

Most are picking the Patriots to win this game, but the Texans have a great chance to come away with a win. Let’s break down four reasons the Texans will come away with a victory.

4. Tom Brady

Tom Brady is still a good quarterback, but he isn’t playing as well as he has at a younger age, and if the Patriots are down late, can he actually lead the team on a comeback drive? Over the last three games, Brady has thrown only two touchdown passes and in two of the three games, he has thrown for less than 220 yards.

In the last game against the Cowboys, he completed only 45.9 percent of his passes and even though the weather was bad, that number isn’t good enough.

The Texans pass defense hasn’t been great but are coming off a game against Jacoby Brissett that they allowed him to pass for only 129 yards.

3. Patriots’ lack of running game

Like stated above, the Patriots defense has been the main reason for the team’s success this year. One of the main weak spots for the Patriots on offense has been running the ball. On the season they are averaging only 91.9 yards per game on the ground which is 23rd in football.

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Even in the last game against the Cowboys where most of their offense came on the ground, Sony Michel could only muster up 85 yards. The Texans defense hasn’t been great against the run, but they should do enough to slow them down and make life tough on the Patriots.

2. Watson has limited turnovers

The Patriots defense has done a good job of creating turnovers and it’s been a big reason that they have had a lot of success as a team. But the bad news for the Patriots is Watson has done a good job for the most part of not turning over the ball. On the season he has thrown seven interceptions and lost three fumbles.

He knows coming into this game that limiting turnovers is key, so he should be extra careful with the ball to have success.

1. Watson’s legs

The Patriots one loss of the season was against the Baltimore Ravens and a big reason they lost was because of Lamar Jackson’s legs. Jackson ran for 61 yards and two touchdowns, and in this game the Patriots are going to have issues slowing down Watson. On the season, Watson has rushed 58 times for 301 yards and five touchdowns.

This is a game where Watson will have to use his legs, and he will be successful. Look for the Patriots to lose contain a few times which will lead to some big games and maybe a few touchdowns.

Watson is going to have a big game, and lead the Texans to a win.