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Max Fried will take the mound for the Braves to close out this interleague series with the Yankees on Sunday afternoon. It's time to continue our MLB odds series with a Braves-Yankees prediction and pick.
Braves-Yankees Projected Starters
Max Fried vs. Nestor Cortes
Max Fried (6-3) with a 3.11 ERA and 1.07 WHIP
Last Start: Max Fried allowed a run on four hits and three walks over 5.1 innings in a no-decision Monday. He struck out six during the win over Detroit.
2024 Road Splits: Max Fried has been solid both at home and on the road where he is 4-2 with a 3.06 ERA and 0.92 WHIP.
Nestor Cortes (4-5) with a 3.36 ERA and 1.10 WHIP
Last Start: Nestor Cortes picked up the win in Tuesday's 4-2 victory over the Orioles, allowing five hits over six scoreless innings. He struck out six without walking a batter.
2024 Home Splits: Nestor Cortes has been dominant at home with a 4-2 record, 1.57 ERA, and 0.81 WHIP.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Braves-Yankees Odds
Atlanta Braves: -1.5 (+136)
Moneyline: -116
New York Yankees: +1.5 (-164)
Moneyline: -102
Over: 8.5 (-122)
Under: 8.5 (+100)
How to Watch Braves vs. Yankees
Time: 1:35 PM ET/10:35 AM PT
TV: Bally Sports Southeast, YES Network, MLB Extra Innings
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Braves Will Cover The Spread/Win
The Atlanta Braves are set to face the New York Yankees on Sunday afternoon, with Max Fried taking the mound against Nestor Cortes. This matchup heavily favors the Braves, and here's why.
Max Fried has been a cornerstone of the Braves' rotation, boasting a 6-3 record with a 3.11 ERA. After a rocky start to the season, Fried has been dominant, posting a 2.00 ERA and a .465 OPS in his last 10 outings. His ability to control the game and limit opposing offenses has been crucial for Atlanta. Fried's recent performance against the Yankees last year, where he allowed just two runs over six innings, further underscores his capability to handle their lineup.
Nestor Cortes, while having a respectable 3.36 ERA, has shown inconsistency this season. Despite a strong outing against the Orioles recently, Cortes has struggled to maintain his form over extended periods. His tendency to give up home runs, with five allowed over his last four starts, could be a significant issue against a power-hitting Braves lineup.
The Braves' offense, despite some injuries, remains potent. With key players like Ozzie Albies and Matt Olson stepping up, Atlanta has the firepower to exploit Cortes' vulnerabilities. The Braves' ability to generate hard contact, as evidenced by their recent performance against Carlos Rodón, suggests they can capitalize on any mistakes Cortes might make.
Additionally, the Yankees' bullpen has been under pressure, with recent struggles adding to their woes. This could be a critical factor late in the game, especially if Cortes is unable to go deep into the innings. The Braves' bullpen, on the other hand, has been more reliable, providing a safety net for Fried to pitch aggressively.
Max Fried's recent dominance and the Braves' powerful lineup give them a significant edge over Nestor Cortes and the Yankees. Expect Atlanta to leverage these advantages and secure a win on Sunday afternoon.
Why The Yankees Will Cover The Spread/Win
The New York Yankees are set to face the Atlanta Braves on Sunday afternoon, with Nestor Cortes taking the mound against Max Fried.
Nestor Cortes has been a reliable arm for the Yankees, boasting a 4-5 record with a 3.36 ERA. His recent performances have been particularly encouraging, including a stellar outing against the Orioles where he allowed no runs on five hits over six innings. Cortes' ability to mix his pitches and keep hitters off balance has been a key factor in his success. His deceptive delivery and command make him a tough matchup for any lineup, including the Braves.
The Yankees' offense, despite some inconsistencies, has shown the ability to produce runs in crucial moments. Key players like Aaron Judge, Juan Soto, and Giancarlo Stanton provide the power needed to exploit any mistakes from Fried.
Max Fried, while having a strong season with a 6-3 record and a 3.11 ERA, has shown some vulnerability on the road. Although he has been dominant in recent outings, the Yankees' lineup has the potential to challenge him, especially in the hitter-friendly confines of Yankee Stadium. Fried's tendency to allow hard contact could be problematic against a power-hitting team like the Yankees.
The Yankees' bullpen has been a strength, capable of shutting down games late. With relievers like Clay Holmes and Michael King, the Yankees can confidently hand over a lead to their bullpen. This depth in pitching can be crucial in close games, providing a safety net for Cortes.
Nestor Cortes' recent form, combined with the Yankees' potent lineup and strong bullpen, gives them a significant edge over Max Fried and the Braves. Expect New York to leverage these advantages and secure a win on Sunday afternoon.
Final Braves-Yankees Prediction & Pick
This should be a good matchup on Sunday in this series finale in New York as the Braves look to leave New York with some momentum heading into next week's matchup. However, Cortes has been downright dominant at home this season and it leads me to believe he will continue that dominance here against the Braves on Sunday afternoon taking the series finale.
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Final Braves-Yankees Prediction & Pick: New York Yankees ML (-102), Over 8.5 (-122)
