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The Arizona Diamondbacks continue their road trip in New York for the finale of their four-game series with the New York Mets looking to take two of four and avoid losing a third consecutive series in this Sunday afternoon matchup at Citi Field. So let's check out our MLB odds series, which includes our Diamondbacks-Mets prediction and pick.
Arizona Diamondbacks (25-32) finally got back into the win column after losing five straight games when they downed the Mets 10-5 in their last game. The Diamondbacks managed to get out a 4-0 in the 4th inning and never let up scoring six more runs in innings 6-8. Even with the bullpen giving up four runs in the 9th inning the Diamondbacks sealed the game and a much-needed victory. The Diamondbacks will look to continue this newfound momentum and continue their winning ways when they face off against the New York Mets this Sunday.
New York Mets (24-33) is looking to finally win a series after dropping back-to-back series against the Giants and Dodgers in their last two series. They won the first two games of this series with the Diamondback by 1 run in each game but they unfortunately got routed in their most recent matchup where Sean Manaea got lit up for 5 Earned Runs in 5.2 innings despite punching out 10 batters. The Mets will be looking to get back on track when they send Tylor Megill to the mound on Sunday afternoon.
Here are the MLB Odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
MLB Odds: Diamondbacks-Astros Odds
Arizona Diamondbacks: -1.5 (+132)
Moneyline: -124
New York Mets: +1.5 (-160)
Moneyline: +106
Over: 8.5 (-102)
Under: 8.5 (-120)
How to Watch Diamondbacks vs. Mets
Time: 1:05 ET/10:05 PT
TV: MLB Extra Innings
Stream: fuboTV (Click for free trial)
Why The Diamondbacks Will Cover The Spread/Win
Brandon Pfaadt has shown significant improvement this season, posting a 4.17 ERA with 63 strikeouts over 67 innings. His WHIP of 1.07 indicates strong control and the ability to limit baserunners. Pfaadt's recent outings have been particularly impressive, including a seven-inning, nine-strikeout performance against the Reds.
The Diamondbacks' lineup, featuring power hitters like Christian Walker and Ketel Marte, provides robust offensive support. Walker leads the team with 11 home runs and 34 RBIs, while Marte has been consistent with a .285 batting average and 10 home runs. This offensive firepower can exploit any mistakes made by Megill, who has shown vulnerability, particularly with his fastball.
While the Mets have had their moments, they have shown vulnerabilities, particularly at home. Their recent 3-7 record over the last 10 games highlights their inconsistency. Megill, despite his potential, has struggled to maintain form, as evidenced by his 4.72 ERA last season. Facing a potent Diamondbacks lineup in a high-pressure environment could be challenging.
Pfaadt has demonstrated resilience and the ability to perform under pressure. His ability to pitch deep into games, combined with his improved command, gives the Diamondbacks a significant edge. Brandon Pfaadt's superior command, recent form, and the Diamondbacks' offensive depth make him the favorite to outduel Tylor Megill and lead Arizona to a road victory on Sunday afternoon.
Why The Mets Will Cover The Spread/Win
Citi Field is known for being a pitcher-friendly park, which should play to Quintana's strengths. The stadium's dimensions and conditions favor pitchers, and Quintana has historically performed well in such environments. His ability to induce ground balls and limit hard contact will be crucial against the Diamondbacks' lineup.
José Quintana has not pitched well this season but there have been spots where he was solid this season, posting a 4.15 ERA with 11 strikeouts over 17 innings. His WHIP of 1.36 indicates good control and the ability to limit baserunners. In contrast, Brandon Pfaadt has struggled with consistency, holding a 4.16 ERA and a 2-4 record this season.
The Mets' lineup, featuring power hitters like Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor, provides robust offensive support. Alonso leads the team with 12 home runs, while Lindor has been consistent with a .229 batting average and 9 home runs. This offensive firepower can capitalize on any mistakes made by Pfaadt, who has shown vulnerability, particularly with his fastball.
While the Diamondbacks have had their moments, they have shown vulnerabilities, particularly on the road. Their recent 12-17 road record highlights their inconsistency. Pfaadt, despite his potential, has struggled to maintain form, as evidenced by his 5.72 ERA last season. Facing a potent Mets lineup in a high-pressure environment could be challenging.
José Quintana's home advantage, the Mets' offensive depth, and Citi Field's pitcher-friendly conditions make him the favorite to outduel Brandon Pfaadt and lead New York to a home victory on Sunday afternoon.
Final Diamondbacks-Mets Prediction & Pick
This should be an intriguing matchup between these two teams that are looking to continue their recent momentum. The Arizona Diamondbacks may have not been in great form recently but they have been playing good baseball in this series against the Mets and they boast a great lineup that can get after it which should give the veteran Jose Quintana a ton of trouble in this matchup. As long as Brandon Pfaadt can hit his mark and pitch a solid game against this Mets lineup they should come away with the victory on the road.
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Final Diamondbacks-Mets Prediction & Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (-124), Over 8.5 Runs (-102)
