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The battle for first in Group A ensues when Switzerland battles Germany. It will be a critical spot entering the knockout stage, as the first-place team in Group A has a favorable draw. The first-place team will be on the opposite side of the draw from the first-place teams in the England and France groups. The winner of this game will have a path to a third-place team, Spain, and then Portugal or Netherlands. There could be upsets that change this path or make it even easier, but this is the most likely scenario. It is time to continue our Euro 2024 odds series with a Switzerland-Germany prediction, pick, and how-to-watch.
Switzerland had a comfortable victory over Hungary in their tournament opener but drew Scotland in their second match. The tie puts Scotland in a position to fall to third in this group with a loss and a Scotland win over Hungary. Scotland's blowout loss to Germany doesn't give them the best chance, as their goal differential is currently -4. If Switzerland can't defeat Germany in this matchup, they must keep it close.
Germany will hold their first-place spot in Group A with a win or a draw. Germany is unbeaten in six straight games, winning five of those. They've outscored their opponents 7-1 in the first two games in front of their rabid home fans. Germany feels like it's time to win their first Euro title since 1996.
Here are the 2024 Euros odds, courtesy of FanDuel.
2024 Euros Odds: Switzerland-Germany Odds
Switzerland: +440
Germany: -150
Draw: +270
Over 2.5 goals: -122
Under 2.5 goals: +100
How to Watch Switzerland-Germany
Time: 3 PM ET/noon PT
TV: FOX, TSN
Stream: (Click Here for Free Trial)
Why Switzerland Will Win
Switzerland took a step back when they drew Scotland, but that doesn't mean they don't have a chance of defeating Germany in this match. They need to limit the German offense, which may not be easy for them after allowing Scotland to take 12 shots. The Swiss don't have the talent to exchange blows with Germany, but they can hold on long enough to steal a victory. Switzerland's offense isn't as lifeless as people think, as they averaged 2.55 expected goals per 90 in qualifying.
Why Germany Will Win
Julian Naglesmann will have the Germans ready for this match, knowing what is at stake for the knockout stage. Germany controlled the first two games of the tournament, possessing the ball over 70% in both games and firing 39 shots at the goal, with 17 hitting the target and seven going in.
Germany needs a draw to get first place, so one concern has to be a lack of motivation to get the three points. In any other tournament, that would be a reason to stay away from Germany, but they will focus on grabbing three wins in front of their home fans.
Final Switzerland-Germany Prediction & Pick
The big question heading into this match is which version of Switzerland we will see. They dominated in their opening match against Hungary but allowed Scotland to get a draw against them. The Hungary match version of this team has a good chance of upsetting Germany, but if they maintain their Scotland form, it could be another blowout win for the Germans.
Germany has been a runaway train in this tournament, dominating possession and generating plenty of offense. Tactically, Naglesmann is one of the best managers in this tournament, and it's starting to shine through. Take the Germans going undefeated in the group stage and taking down Switzerland.
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Final Switzerland-Germany Prediction & Pick: Germany (-150)
