Ecuador and Jamaica both dropped the opening games of their Copa America tournament. Jamaica dropped their opener 1-0 to Mexico, while Venezuela beat Ecuador 2-1. The winner of this game could get themselves back into knockout stage contention, but their final group stage games won’t be easy. These teams don’t play each other often, as the last meeting was in 2018, with Ecuador winning 2-0. It is time to continue our Copa America odds series with an Ecuador-Jamaica prediction, pick, and how-to-watch.

Venezuela defeated Ecuador as a +390 underdog, which was surprising considering Ecuador’s dedication to preparing for the tournament. Ecuador got ahead 1-0 on a Jeremy Sarmiento strike with five minutes remaining in the first half. However, they couldn’t overcome their captain, Enner Valencia, getting sent off in the 22nd minute after a high boot. Ecuador did their best to hang on, but Venezuela scored two goals in ten minutes to steal the 2-1 victory.

Jamaica can be proud of its effort against Mexico despite getting out-chanced and out-possessed. Mexico had a devastating start when their captain, Edson Alvarez, suffered a hamstring injury. Jamaica’s Michail Antonio thought he scored five minutes into the second half to take the lead, but VAR disallowed it for an offsides infraction. Jamaica held on as long as possible, but a Mexico onslaught ended with Gerardo Arteaga’s 69th-minute strike.

Here are the 2024 Copa America odds, courtesy of FanDuel. 

2024 Copa America Odds: Ecuador-Jamaica Odds

Ecuador: -190

Jamaica: +550

Draw: +300

Over 2.5 goals: +105

Under 2.5 goals: -135

How to Watch Ecuador vs. Jamaica

Time: 6 PM ET/3 PM PT

TV: FS1, TSN

Stream: (Click Here for Free Trial)

Why Ecuador Will Win

Ecuador’s loss in the opening game hurts their chances of advancing to the group stage, but not for this game against Jamaica. They nearly persevered to defeat Venezuela despite playing most of the game with ten men, and they should be a determined group for this match.

Ecuador’s group-stage chances will rely on earning points against Jamaica in the final game, but they’ll need to defeat Jamaica before that can happen.

Why Jamaica Will Win

Ecuador will have a big hole in their lineup with Enner Valencia having to miss this game due to his red card. We saw Jamaica hold on for a long time against Mexico, who ironically lost their captain early in the match. Jamaica is close with Copa America’s best teams, winning four of their last six games entering the tournament and nearly upsetting the United States in the Concacaf Nations League semifinal.

Ecuador is in a big offensive hole with the loss of Enner Valencia, who has 41 career international goals. Jamaica had the second-best dribble success rate among Concacaf teams during the Nations League, and they also have one of the best-expected goals rate per shot.

Final Ecuador-Jamaica Prediction & Pick

At the fault of their captain, Ecuador has their backs against the wall in Copa America. If they lose to Jamaica, they could find themselves out of the knockout stage even if they upset Mexico. It’s a tough spot for the team, but they have enough talent and experience on their roster to defeat Jamaica without Valencia.

Players like Kevin Rodriguez, Moises Caicedo, and Piero Huncapie must step up in Valencia’s absence and defeat Jamaica. If not, it’ll be a disaster on the world stage for the Ecuadorians. A win in this game won’t guarantee advancement for Ecuador, as they’ll need to defeat Mexico next game or hope for a lot of help from the Jamaica and Venezuela game.

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Final Ecuador-Jamaica Prediction & Pick: Ecuador ML (-190)